VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap Prediction - August 23, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
VVV Venlo
2:1
De Graafschap
Projected score
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Bookmaker odds

Home2.79price falling, opened at 3.06
Draw3.78price rising, opened at 3.76
Away2.22price rising, opened at 2.08

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.07price falling, opened at 1.10
Under 1.55.80price rising, opened at 5.20
Over 2.51.34price falling, opened at 1.40
Under 2.52.78price rising, opened at 2.56
Over 3.51.93price falling, opened at 2.09
Under 3.51.83price rising, opened at 1.70
Both teams to score
Yes1.33price falling, opened at 1.40
No3.02price rising, opened at 2.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +0.251.78price falling, opened at 1.88
Away -0.251.87price rising, opened at 1.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: VVV Venlo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • 1 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings ended level.
  • Counter signalVVV Venlo average 2.6 goals per match against 1.0 for De Graafschap.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.4%Projected
  2. 1-27.5%Alternative
  3. 2-16.5%
  4. 2-26.5%
  5. 0-15.5%

Top five combined: 34.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVVV VenloxG2.02
AwayDe GraafschapxG2.40
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.2%
2.4%
2.5%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.2%
1
2.9%
5.8%
5.9%
4.0%
2.0%
0.8%
0.4%
2
3.5%
7.0%
7.1%
4.8%
2.4%
1.0%
0.5%
3
2.8%
5.6%
5.7%
3.8%
1.9%
0.8%
0.4%
4
1.7%
3.4%
3.4%
2.3%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
5
0.8%
1.6%
1.6%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
6+
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 78.9%21.1% No
Over 1.5 93.5%6.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 81.8%18.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 64.4%35.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

VVV Venlo win and over 2.5 goals28.5%
VVV Venlo win and both teams score25.5%
De Graafschap win and over 2.5 goals40.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals7.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
VVV Venlo or draw52.7%
De Graafschap or draw66.6%
Either team wins80.7%
Draw no bet: VVV Venlo41.4%
Draw no bet: De Graafschap58.6%
VVV Venlo win to nil7.9%
De Graafschap win to nil12.0%
Team goals
VVV Venlo to score86.8%
De Graafschap to score90.9%
VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals60.0%
De Graafschap over 1.5 goals69.1%
VVV Venlo clean sheet9.1%
De Graafschap clean sheet13.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

VVV Venlo: 4-3-3(predicted)De Graafschap: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap
Head to Head

Head to Head

VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026VVV Venlo3 - 3De Graafschap
August 8, 2025De Graafschap3 - 2VVV Venlo
April 28, 2025VVV Venlo3 - 1De Graafschap
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400167+912
2440084+412
34310113+810
44301115+69
54301109+19
652218808
7421186+27
8421154+17
942117707
104202115+66
1152039906
1240406604
134112910-14
144112510-54
1551131114-34
16410337-43
174103611-53
18402257-22
194013512-71
205005515-100
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles4400167912
2MVV Maastricht440084412
3Almere City FC4310113810
4VVV Venlo430111569
5Emmen430110919
6Jong PSV52218808
7Vitesse42118627
8Roda42115417
9NAC Breda42117707
10FC Volendam420211566
11Jong AZ52039906
12Waalwijk40406604
13Den Bosch4112910-14
14Dordrecht4112510-54
15Jong Ajax51131114-34
16FC OSS410337-43
17FC Eindhoven4103611-53
18Helmond Sport402257-22
19De Graafschap4013512-71
20Jong Utrecht5005515-100