South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Prediction - August 23, 2026

Victoria NPLAustraliaFull time
South Melbourne
1:2
Heidelberg United
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.58price rising, opened at 2.16
Draw3.54price rising, opened at 3.40
Away2.50price falling, opened at 2.90

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price rising, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.33price rising, opened at 4.05
Over 2.51.74price rising, opened at 1.66
Under 2.52.10price rising, opened at 2.07
Over 3.52.65price rising, opened at 2.63
Under 3.51.45price rising, opened at 1.38
Both teams to score
Yes1.56price rising, opened at 1.54
No2.33price rising, opened at 2.27
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +0.251.76
Away -0.252.06

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • South Melbourne and Heidelberg United average 3.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.2%Projected
  2. 2-19.3%Alternative
  3. 1-08.6%
  4. 1-27.8%
  5. 0-17.2%

Top five combined: 45.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSouth MelbournexG1.93
AwayHeidelberg UnitedxG1.50
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
6.2%
6.0%
3.9%
1.9%
0.7%
0.3%
1
4.9%
9.4%
9.0%
5.8%
2.8%
1.1%
0.5%
2
3.7%
7.0%
6.8%
4.4%
2.1%
0.8%
0.4%
3
1.8%
3.5%
3.4%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.7%
1.3%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 66.5%33.5% No
Over 1.5 85.7%14.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 66.7%33.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 44.9%55.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

South Melbourne win and over 2.5 goals35.5%
South Melbourne win and both teams score28.7%
Heidelberg United win and over 2.5 goals21.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
South Melbourne or draw69.8%
Heidelberg United or draw52.3%
Either team wins78.0%
Draw no bet: South Melbourne61.2%
Draw no bet: Heidelberg United38.8%
South Melbourne win to nil19.0%
Heidelberg United win to nil11.3%
Team goals
South Melbourne to score85.5%
Heidelberg United to score77.8%
South Melbourne over 1.5 goals57.4%
Heidelberg United over 1.5 goals44.3%
South Melbourne clean sheet22.2%
Heidelberg United clean sheet14.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United
Head to Head

Head to Head

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 8, 2026Heidelberg United4 - 0South Melbourne
November 29, 2025South Melbourne1 - 0Heidelberg United
July 26, 2025Heidelberg United1 - 1South Melbourne
League Table

League Table

Victoria NPLAustralia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12516635421+3354
22515554018+2250
32515465134+1749
42514296334+2944
525132103935+441
62510784034+637
72581163434035
8259793229+334
92587103043-1331
102586114140+130
112576122741-1427
122566132749-2224
132536162151-3015
142543182359-3615
Victoria NPL - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Oakleigh Cannons25166354213354DLWWD
2Preston Lions25155540182250DWDWW
3Hume City25154651341749WLLLD
4Avondale25142963342944WWDLL
5South Melbourne25132103935441WWDWW
6Heidelberg United2510784034637LDDDD
7Sunshine Georgies2581163434035DDWDD
8Dandenong City259793229334WDLLD
9St. Albans Saints2587103043-1331LWDDD
10Melbourne City II2586114140130LLLDW
11Altona Magic2576122741-1427DWDWL
12Bentleigh Greens2566132749-2224DLWLL
13Green Gully2536162151-3015DDWLW
14Dandenong Thunder2543182359-3615LLLWL