Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM Prediction - August 23, 2026

Super LigaMoldovaFull time
Sheriff Tiraspol
4:0
Politehnica UTM
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.66Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.23price falling, opened at 1.28
Draw5.45price rising, opened at 4.70
Away9.50price rising, opened at 9.30

Market move since Aug 23. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price rising, opened at 1.11
Under 1.55.00price falling, opened at 6.50
Over 2.51.43
Under 2.52.46
Over 3.52.17price rising, opened at 2.08
Under 3.51.60price falling, opened at 1.65
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price rising, opened at 1.74
No1.85price falling, opened at 1.94
Odd/Even
Odd1.82price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home -1.751.90
Away +1.751.73

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sheriff Tiraspol are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Sheriff Tiraspol and Politehnica UTM average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.3%Projected
  2. 0-28.0%
  3. 1-37.8%
  4. 1-17.5%Alternative
  5. 0-36.7%

Top five combined: 39.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSheriff TiraspolxG1.16
AwayPolitehnica UTMxG2.50
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.6%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
1
6.4%
7.5%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.0%
9.3%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
3
6.7%
7.8%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
4.2%
4.9%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
2.1%
2.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
1.3%
1.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 63.0%37.0% No
Over 1.5 88.0%12.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.8%29.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.8%50.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sheriff Tiraspol win and over 2.5 goals11.2%
Sheriff Tiraspol win and both teams score10.2%
Politehnica UTM win and over 2.5 goals52.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sheriff Tiraspol or draw33.4%
Politehnica UTM or draw84.1%
Either team wins82.5%
Draw no bet: Sheriff Tiraspol19.2%
Draw no bet: Politehnica UTM80.8%
Sheriff Tiraspol win to nil5.6%
Politehnica UTM win to nil28.8%
Team goals
Sheriff Tiraspol to score68.6%
Politehnica UTM to score91.8%
Sheriff Tiraspol over 1.5 goals32.3%
Politehnica UTM over 1.5 goals71.3%
Sheriff Tiraspol clean sheet8.2%
Politehnica UTM clean sheet31.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM
Head to Head

Head to Head

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 4, 2026Politehnica UTM0 - 0Sheriff Tiraspol
October 4, 2025Politehnica UTM1 - 2Sheriff Tiraspol
August 10, 2025Sheriff Tiraspol3 - 0Politehnica UTM
June 22, 2025Politehnica UTM0 - 4Sheriff Tiraspol
League Table

League Table

Super LigaMoldova · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
110631228+1421
2106222310+1320
394231610+614
494141214-213
5103341515012
69243814-610
710073613-77
89126826-185
Super Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Sheriff Tiraspol106312281421WDWWD
2Zimbru1062223101320WWDLW
3Petrocub94231610614WDLDW
4Dacia-Buiucani94141214-213LWLWW
5Politehnica UTM103341515012LLWWD
6Milsami Orhei9243814-610DDWLL
7Sireți10073613-77DDDLL
8CSF Bălți9126826-185LLLDL