Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction - August 23, 2026

EkstraklasaPolandFull time
Radomiak Radom
0:0
Zaglebie Lubin
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.30Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.38price rising, opened at 2.35
Draw3.24price falling, opened at 3.28
Away2.91price falling, opened at 2.92

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.24
Under 1.53.34
Over 2.51.86price falling, opened at 1.87
Under 2.51.89price rising, opened at 1.88
Over 3.52.92price falling, opened at 2.97
Under 3.51.31price rising, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.66
No2.09
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.99price rising, opened at 1.98
Away +0.251.75price falling, opened at 1.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Radomiak Radom are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

A 0-5 collapse against Legia Warszawa is the headline result inside Radomiak Radom's run of 13 goals conceded in five matches, and it sits behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick for Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin on 23 August, priced at 1.3. The model's own read on this line is 64 percent, a moderate lean rather than a claim of value against that price, with Zaglebie Lubin bringing the more productive attack at 1.6 goals a game on the road.

Radomiak have shipped 13 goals in five matches

That includes the 0-5 collapse against Legia Warszawa and two further games conceding three. Zaglebie Lubin's own scoring rate of 1.6 goals a game does not need to work especially hard against a defence that has looked that open, and Superior's projection combines that gap rather than either side's reputation.

Zaglebie have won the last two h2h games by a single goal

Those wins, including a 1-0 in April, mean only one of the last three meetings between these two produced more than two goals combined. A tight, low-event repeat of that scoreline, rather than the recent leak in Radomiak's defence, is the clearest way this Over 1.5 pick misses.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.4%Projected
  2. 2-19.1%Alternative
  3. 1-08.3%
  4. 1-28.3%
  5. 0-17.5%

Top five combined: 44.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRadomiak RadomxG1.16
AwayZaglebie LubinxG1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
13%
7.5%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
13%
7.8%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
2
5.9%
6.9%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
2.0%
2.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 44.3%55.7% No
Over 1.5 64.4%35.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 37.6%62.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.0%82.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Radomiak Radom win and over 2.5 goals18.2%
Radomiak Radom win and both teams score14.2%
Zaglebie Lubin win and over 2.5 goals14.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Radomiak Radom or draw67.8%
Zaglebie Lubin or draw61.3%
Either team wins70.9%
Draw no bet: Radomiak Radom54.6%
Draw no bet: Zaglebie Lubin45.4%
Radomiak Radom win to nil24.4%
Zaglebie Lubin win to nil20.2%
Team goals
Radomiak Radom to score68.7%
Zaglebie Lubin to score64.4%
Radomiak Radom over 1.5 goals32.4%
Zaglebie Lubin over 1.5 goals27.7%
Radomiak Radom clean sheet35.6%
Zaglebie Lubin clean sheet31.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Radomiak Radom: 4-1-4-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
Head to Head

Head to Head

Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026Zaglebie Lubin1 - 0Radomiak Radom
October 4, 2025Radomiak Radom3 - 1Zaglebie Lubin
April 5, 2025Radomiak Radom0 - 1Zaglebie Lubin
League Table

League Table

EkstraklasaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410104+613
26330124+812
35401117+412
463121210+210
55302126+69
6530297+29
7522174+38
8522164+28
9522154+18
10622267-18
1162131013-37
126213613-77
136132101006
14613289-16
156123610-45
165113310-74
175104812-43
185005613-70
Relegation
Ekstraklasa - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lech Poznan5410104613WD
2Legia Warszawa6330124812WW
3Gornik Zabrze5401117412W
4Wisla Krakow63121210210LW
5GKS Katowice530212669WL
6Jagiellonia53029729WW
7Pogon Szczecin52217438WL
8Korona Kielce52216428L
9Zaglebie Lubin52215418LW
10Cracovia Krakow622267-18LD
11Piast Gliwice62131013-37WL
12Radomiak Radom6213613-77LW
13Widzew Łódź6132101006DD
14Slask Wroclaw613289-16WL
15Motor Lublin6123610-45LD
16Wisla Plock5113310-74DW
17Wieczysta Kraków5104812-43LL
18Raków Częstochowa5005613-70LL