Rīgas FS vs Riga Prediction - August 23, 2026

VirsligaLatviaFull time
Rīgas FS
3:3
Riga
Projected score
5-1

Alternative:1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.27price falling, opened at 2.30
Draw3.38price falling, opened at 3.60
Away2.66price rising, opened at 2.60

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price rising, opened at 1.17
Under 1.53.76price falling, opened at 4.50
Over 2.51.72price rising, opened at 1.62
Under 2.51.98price falling, opened at 2.20
Over 3.52.74price falling, opened at 2.75
Under 3.51.35price falling, opened at 1.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.58price rising, opened at 1.57
No2.19price falling, opened at 2.28
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +01.71price falling, opened at 1.73
Away +01.98price falling, opened at 1.99

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs Riga?

The model's leading scoreline is 5 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Riga are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-17.7%Alternative
  2. 2-17.6%
  3. 1-27.4%
  4. 2-27.3%
  5. 3-15.0%

Top five combined: 35.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRīgas FSxG1.96
AwayRigaxG1.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.0%
4.0%
3.9%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
1
3.9%
7.7%
7.6%
5.0%
2.4%
1.0%
0.4%
2
3.8%
7.4%
7.3%
4.8%
2.4%
0.9%
0.4%
3
2.4%
4.8%
4.7%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
0.3%
4
1.2%
2.3%
2.3%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
5
0.5%
0.9%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 73.5%26.5% No
Over 1.5 90.0%10.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 74.6%25.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 54.6%45.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Rīgas FS win and over 2.5 goals32.2%
Rīgas FS win and both teams score27.7%
Riga win and over 2.5 goals31.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Rīgas FS or draw61.2%
Riga or draw59.8%
Either team wins79.0%
Draw no bet: Rīgas FS50.8%
Draw no bet: Riga49.2%
Rīgas FS win to nil12.5%
Riga win to nil12.0%
Team goals
Rīgas FS to score86.0%
Riga to score85.5%
Rīgas FS over 1.5 goals58.4%
Riga over 1.5 goals57.5%
Rīgas FS clean sheet14.5%
Riga clean sheet14.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Head to Head

Head to Head

Riga
2 - 1
Rīgas FS
June 17, 2026
Riga
3 - 4
Rīgas FS
November 7, 2025
Rīgas FS
0 - 0
Riga
September 25, 2025
Riga
3 - 1
Rīgas FS
June 18, 2025
Rīgas FS vs Riga: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 17, 2026Riga2 - 1Rīgas FS
November 7, 2025Riga3 - 4Rīgas FS
September 25, 2025Rīgas FS0 - 0Riga
June 18, 2025Riga3 - 1Rīgas FS
League Table

League Table

VirsligaLatvia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rīgas FS
2621326520+4566
2
Riga
2620517924+5565
3
Auda
2716564427+1753
4
BFC Daugavpils
28107113332+137
5
FK Liepaja
27114123639-337
6
FS Jelgava
2887133247-1531
7
Super Nova
2685132738-1129
8
Grobiņa
2859142050-3024
9
Tukums
2848164158-1720
10
Ogre United
2635182668-4214
Virsliga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Rīgas FS26213265204566WWDWW
2Riga26205179245565WWWWD
3Auda27165644271753WDLDW
4BFC Daugavpils28107113332137WLWWL
5FK Liepaja27114123639-337LWLWL
6FS Jelgava2887133247-1531LLLLW
7Super Nova2685132738-1129WLWLL
8Grobiņa2859142050-3024LDLWL
9Tukums2848164158-1720WLLLL
10Ogre United2635182668-4214DLWLW