Paredes vs Leça Prediction - August 23, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Paredes
1:2
Leça
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-1

Asian Handicap: Home +01.52Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.78
Draw3.28
Away4.29

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36
Under 1.52.70
Over 2.52.17
Under 2.51.60
Over 3.53.88
Under 3.51.18
Both teams to score
Yes1.99
No1.71
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.751.99
Away +0.751.66

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Paredes vs Leça?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Paredes are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Paredes average 2.4 goals per match against 0.6 for Leça.
  • Paredes won 4 of their last 5 matches; Leça won 1 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-014.0%Projected
  2. 1-012.7%
  3. 3-010.2%
  4. 2-19.1%
  5. 1-18.3%Alternative

Top five combined: 54.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeParedesxG2.20
AwayLeçaxG0.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.8%
13%
14%
10%
5.6%
2.5%
1.3%
1
3.8%
8.3%
9.1%
6.7%
3.7%
1.6%
0.8%
2
1.2%
2.7%
3.0%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
0.3%
3
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.6%57.4% No
Over 1.5 77.7%22.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.2%45.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.9%68.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Paredes win and over 2.5 goals46.1%
Paredes win and both teams score26.5%
Leça win and over 2.5 goals4.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Paredes or draw90.4%
Leça or draw27.2%
Either team wins82.4%
Draw no bet: Paredes88.3%
Draw no bet: Leça11.7%
Paredes win to nil46.3%
Leça win to nil5.3%
Team goals
Paredes to score88.9%
Leça to score47.9%
Paredes over 1.5 goals64.4%
Leça over 1.5 goals14.0%
Paredes clean sheet52.1%
Leça clean sheet11.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Paredes vs Leça
Head to Head

Head to Head

Paredes vs Leça: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 25, 2025Leça2 - 5Paredes
May 4, 2025Paredes2 - 0Leça
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330072+59
1330091+89
2320153+26
2321051+47
3312043+15
3320153+26
4311173+44
4312042+25
531114404
531115504
631112204
631112204
7311123-14
7311134-14
8301225-31
8310213-23
9301228-61
9301225-31
10300327-50
10301218-71
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Varzim33007259
1CF Os Belenenses33009189
2Paredes32015326
2Atlético CP32105147
3Oliveirense31204315
3AD Marco 0932015326
4Mafra31117344
4Fafe31204225
5Guimaraes B31114404
5Louletano31115504
6Vianense31112204
6Lusitano Évora 191131112204
7SC Covilha311123-14
7Leça311134-14
8Caldas301225-31
8Trofense310213-23
9Vitória de Sernache301228-61
9São João Ver301225-31
10Pacos Ferreira300327-50
10União Santarém301218-71