Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-3

Alternative:1-1

Match Winner: Away1.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home10.50

Draw7.40

Away1.14

Market move since Aug 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.05

Under 1.59.90

Over 2.51.19

Under 2.54.00

Over 3.51.49

Under 3.52.30

Both teams to score

Yes1.51

No2.34

Odd/Even

Odd1.81

Even1.83

Handicap

Home +2.251.73

Away -2.251.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 3, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Tartu Welco are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 20, 2026, 00:06 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21 - Tartu JK Welco 2:4 I Esiliiga 25. voor I 2026EsiliigaUnlock with Premium

Why this prediction

Tartu Welco average 3.8 goals per match against 0.8 for Nõmme Kalju II.
Tartu Welco won 4 of their last 5 matches; Nõmme Kalju II won 1 of 5.
Tartu Welco won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-38.0%Projected
1-27.5%
0-36.5%
1-46.4%
0-26.1%

Top five combined: 34.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNõmme Kalju IIxG1.22

AwayTartu WelcoxG3.21

1.2%

1.5%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

3.8%

4.7%

2.9%

1.2%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

6.1%

7.5%

4.6%

1.9%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

6.5%

8.0%

4.9%

2.0%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

5.2%

6.4%

3.9%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

3.4%

4.1%

2.5%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

3.1%

3.8%

2.3%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 67.7%32.3% No

Over 1.5 93.5%6.5% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 81.8%18.2% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 64.6%35.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Nõmme Kalju II win and over 2.5 goals8.6%

Nõmme Kalju II win and both teams score8.1%

Tartu Welco win and over 2.5 goals66.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals5.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Nõmme Kalju II or draw24.0%

Tartu Welco or draw89.1%

Either team wins87.0%

Draw no bet: Nõmme Kalju II12.6%

Draw no bet: Tartu Welco87.4%

Nõmme Kalju II win to nil2.9%

Tartu Welco win to nil28.2%

Team goals

Nõmme Kalju II to score70.6%

Tartu Welco to score95.9%

Nõmme Kalju II over 1.5 goals34.6%

Tartu Welco over 1.5 goals83.0%

Nõmme Kalju II clean sheet4.1%

Tartu Welco clean sheet29.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco

Head to Head

Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 28, 2026	Tartu Welco	4 - 2	Nõmme Kalju II
April 11, 2026	Nõmme Kalju II	1 - 5	Tartu Welco
October 23, 2025	Tartu Welco	5 - 2	Nõmme Kalju II
July 19, 2025	Nõmme Kalju II	0 - 3	Tartu Welco
June 19, 2025	Tartu Welco	0 - 1	Nõmme Kalju II

League Table

Esiliiga AEstonia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	26	17	3	6	75	38	+37	54
2	Viimsi	27	14	5	8	51	28	+23	47
3	Flora II	26	13	5	8	62	42	+20	44
4	Elva	26	12	5	9	43	37	+6	41
5	Maardu	26	11	5	10	43	54	-11	38
6	Tallinna Kalev	26	10	5	11	48	50	-2	35
7	FCI Levadia II	26	11	1	14	49	52	-3	34
8	FC Tallinn	27	7	7	13	33	57	-24	28
9	Nõmme United II	26	7	6	13	43	57	-14	27
10	Nõmme Kalju II	26	6	4	16	35	67	-32	22

Esiliiga A - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Tartu Welco	26	17	3	6	75	38	37	54	LLWDW
2	Viimsi	27	14	5	8	51	28	23	47	LWLDD
3	Flora II	26	13	5	8	62	42	20	44	LWLDL
4	Elva	26	12	5	9	43	37	6	41	DWWDL
5	Maardu	26	11	5	10	43	54	-11	38	WWLWD
6	Tallinna Kalev	26	10	5	11	48	50	-2	35	WWLDW
7	FCI Levadia II	26	11	1	14	49	52	-3	34	DWWWW
8	FC Tallinn	27	7	7	13	33	57	-24	28	WWLWL
9	Nõmme United II	26	7	6	13	43	57	-14	27	WLLDL
10	Nõmme Kalju II	26	6	4	16	35	67	-32	22	LLLDD

Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco Prediction - August 23, 2026

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What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

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