Neftchi vs Sogdiana Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Over 2.51.60Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.32

Draw5.31

Away8.10

Market move since Aug 23. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.13

Under 1.55.33

Over 2.51.51

Under 2.52.42

Over 3.52.30

Under 3.51.57

Both teams to score

Yes1.75

No1.93

Odd/Even

Odd1.82

Even1.82

Handicap

Home -1.51.94

Away +1.51.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Neftchi vs Sogdiana?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sogdiana are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 20, 2026, 00:06 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

Neftchi and Sogdiana average 3.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

2-18.4%Projected
3-17.7%
2-06.1%
1-16.0%Alternative
2-25.7%

Top five combined: 33.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNeftchixG2.77

AwaySogdianaxG1.37

1.6%

4.4%

6.1%

5.6%

3.9%

2.2%

1.6%

2.2%

6.0%

8.4%

7.7%

5.3%

3.0%

2.2%

1.5%

4.1%

5.7%

5.3%

3.7%

2.0%

1.5%

0.7%

1.9%

2.6%

2.4%

1.7%

0.9%

0.7%

0.2%

0.7%

0.9%

0.8%

0.6%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 70.0%30.0% No

Over 1.5 91.8%8.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 78.2%21.8% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 59.4%40.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Neftchi win and over 2.5 goals56.2%

Neftchi win and both teams score43.0%

Sogdiana win and over 2.5 goals13.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals7.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Neftchi or draw83.2%

Sogdiana or draw33.3%

Either team wins83.5%

Draw no bet: Neftchi79.9%

Draw no bet: Sogdiana20.1%

Neftchi win to nil23.7%

Sogdiana win to nil4.7%

Team goals

Neftchi to score93.7%

Sogdiana to score74.7%

Neftchi over 1.5 goals76.4%

Sogdiana over 1.5 goals39.9%

Neftchi clean sheet25.3%

Sogdiana clean sheet6.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Neftchi vs Sogdiana

Head to Head

Neftchi vs Sogdiana: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
July 21, 2026	Sogdiana	1 - 5	Neftchi
September 30, 2025	Sogdiana	0 - 1	Neftchi

League Table

Super LeagueUzbekistan · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	19	14	3	2	45	10	+35	45
2	Pakhtakor	19	11	7	1	31	18	+13	40
3	Navbahor	19	11	4	4	31	17	+14	37
4	Buxoro	19	10	4	5	28	20	+8	34
5	Olmaliq	20	9	5	6	28	25	+3	32
6	Lokomotiv	19	9	4	6	32	26	+6	31
7	Andijan	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Dinamo Samarqand	19	7	5	7	29	30	-1	26
9	Nasaf	19	6	7	6	20	18	+2	25
10	Sogdiana	19	7	3	9	32	39	-7	24
11	Qizilqum	19	7	2	10	17	26	-9	23
12	Xorazm	20	5	5	10	17	29	-12	20
13	Surkhon	19	5	5	9	16	26	-10	20
14	Kokand-1912	19	4	7	8	17	26	-9	19
15	Bunyodkor	19	6	1	12	20	31	-11	19
16	Mash'al	19	1	1	17	8	34	-26	4

Champions LeagueRelegation

Super League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Neftchi	19	14	3	2	45	10	35	45	DDWWD
2	Pakhtakor	19	11	7	1	31	18	13	40	DWWDD
3	Navbahor	19	11	4	4	31	17	14	37	WDDLD
4	Buxoro	19	10	4	5	28	20	8	34	WLWLW
5	Olmaliq	20	9	5	6	28	25	3	32	LWWWD
6	Lokomotiv	19	9	4	6	32	26	6	31	LWDDW
7	Andijan	19	8	3	8	24	20	4	27	DWDLW
8	Dinamo Samarqand	19	7	5	7	29	30	-1	26	DWWWW
9	Nasaf	19	6	7	6	20	18	2	25	WWDWD
10	Sogdiana	19	7	3	9	32	39	-7	24	WLLWL
11	Qizilqum	19	7	2	10	17	26	-9	23	LDLLD
12	Xorazm	20	5	5	10	17	29	-12	20	LWLLL
13	Surkhon	19	5	5	9	16	26	-10	20	WLLWD
14	Kokand-1912	19	4	7	8	17	26	-9	19	LLLLW
15	Bunyodkor	19	6	1	12	20	31	-11	19	LLLLW
16	Mash'al	19	1	1	17	8	34	-26	4	LLDWL

Neftchi vs Sogdiana Prediction - August 23, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Neftchi vs Sogdiana?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Head to Head

League Table