Municipal vs Xelajú Prediction - August 23, 2026

Liga NacionalGuatemalaFull time
Municipal
2:0
Xelajú
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:2-0

Goals: Under 3.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.58price rising, opened at 1.45
Draw3.79price falling, opened at 3.80
Away5.79price falling, opened at 6.34

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.50price rising, opened at 3.20
Over 2.51.97price falling, opened at 2.00
Under 2.51.83price rising, opened at 1.73
Over 3.53.13price falling, opened at 3.25
Under 3.51.33price rising, opened at 1.29
Both teams to score
Yes2.21price rising, opened at 2.00
No1.62price falling, opened at 1.74
Odd/Even
Odd1.93
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -11.85
Away +11.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Municipal vs Xelajú?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Municipal are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Municipal and Xelajú average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-012.1%Projected
  2. 2-010.4%Alternative
  3. 1-19.7%
  4. 2-18.6%
  5. 0-06.6%

Top five combined: 47.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMunicipalxG2.00
AwayXelajúxG0.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.1%
10%
10%
6.8%
3.4%
1.4%
0.6%
1
5.0%
9.9%
10.0%
6.6%
3.3%
1.3%
0.6%
2
2.4%
4.9%
4.9%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.3%
3
0.8%
1.6%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.9%46.1% No
Over 1.5 79.8%20.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.2%42.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.8%65.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Municipal win and over 2.5 goals40.8%
Municipal win and both teams score28.6%
Xelajú win and over 2.5 goals10.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Municipal or draw82.2%
Xelajú or draw38.9%
Either team wins78.9%
Draw no bet: Municipal77.5%
Draw no bet: Xelajú22.5%
Municipal win to nil32.6%
Xelajú win to nil8.4%
Team goals
Municipal to score86.5%
Xelajú to score62.4%
Municipal over 1.5 goals59.4%
Xelajú over 1.5 goals25.6%
Municipal clean sheet37.6%
Xelajú clean sheet13.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

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Goals Over/Under: Over 1.5 @ 1.35
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Municipal vs Xelajú
Head to Head

Head to Head

Xelajú
1 - 2
Municipal
May 24, 2026
Municipal
4 - 1
Xelajú
May 17, 2026
Xelajú
3 - 1
Municipal
March 20, 2026
Municipal
1 - 0
Xelajú
January 29, 2026
Xelajú
1 - 1
Municipal
November 3, 2025
Municipal vs Xelajú: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 24, 2026Xelajú1 - 2Municipal
May 17, 2026Municipal4 - 1Xelajú
March 20, 2026Xelajú3 - 1Municipal
January 29, 2026Municipal1 - 0Xelajú
November 3, 2025Xelajú1 - 1Municipal