Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Prediction - August 23, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Machida Zelvia
3:1
Urawa
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:2-0

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.85price rising, opened at 1.78
Draw3.58price rising, opened at 3.56
Away4.26price falling, opened at 4.72

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price falling, opened at 1.31
Under 1.53.24price rising, opened at 2.94
Over 2.51.97price falling, opened at 2.15
Under 2.51.83price rising, opened at 1.70
Over 3.53.30price falling, opened at 3.76
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.19
Both teams to score
Yes1.81price falling, opened at 1.97
No1.90price rising, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.752.03price rising, opened at 1.93
Away +0.751.67price falling, opened at 1.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Machida Zelvia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Machida Zelvia won 2 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.
  • Machida Zelvia won 4 of their last 5 matches; Urawa won 3 of 5.
  • Machida Zelvia average 2.6 goals per match against 2.2 for Urawa.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-012.5%Projected
  2. 2-011.8%Alternative
  3. 1-111.1%
  4. 2-110.0%
  5. 0-08.3%

Top five combined: 53.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMachida ZelviaxG2.30
AwayUrawaxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.0%
6.9%
8.0%
6.1%
3.5%
1.6%
0.9%
1
3.6%
8.3%
9.6%
7.3%
4.2%
1.9%
1.1%
2
2.2%
5.0%
5.7%
4.4%
2.5%
1.2%
0.7%
3
0.9%
2.0%
2.3%
1.8%
1.0%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 62.9%37.1% No
Over 1.5 86.4%13.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.9%32.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.3%53.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Machida Zelvia win and over 2.5 goals47.1%
Machida Zelvia win and both teams score34.9%
Urawa win and over 2.5 goals13.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Machida Zelvia or draw81.2%
Urawa or draw38.0%
Either team wins80.8%
Draw no bet: Machida Zelvia76.8%
Draw no bet: Urawa23.2%
Machida Zelvia win to nil27.1%
Urawa win to nil7.0%
Team goals
Machida Zelvia to score90.0%
Urawa to score69.9%
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 goals66.9%
Urawa over 1.5 goals33.7%
Machida Zelvia clean sheet30.1%
Urawa clean sheet10.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Machida Zelvia: 3-4-2-1(predicted)Urawa: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Machida Zelvia vs Urawa
Head to Head

Head to Head

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 22, 2026Machida Zelvia1 - 0Urawa
March 22, 2026Urawa1 - 2Machida Zelvia
October 25, 2025Urawa0 - 0Machida Zelvia
April 13, 2025Machida Zelvia0 - 2Urawa
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400104+612
24400116+512
34310133+1010
4422082+68
5421187+17
6421143+17
7413086+26
8420265+16
942027706
10420235-26
11412165+15
12412167-15
13411234-14
14411268-24
1541036603
16410313-23
174103813-53
18410349-53
19402226-42
204004213-110
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Kashiwa Reysol4400104612
2Kashima4400116512
3Machida Zelvia43101331010
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima42208268
5FC Tokyo42118717
6Vissel Kobe42114317
7Kawasaki Frontale41308626
8Nagoya Grampus42026516
9Yokohama F. Marinos42027706
10Cerezo Osaka420235-26
11Mito Hollyhock41216515
12Gamba Osaka412167-15
13Fagiano Okayama411234-14
14Kyoto Sanga411268-24
15Avispa Fukuoka41036603
16Shimizu S-pulse410313-23
17Urawa4103813-53
18V-varen Nagasaki410349-53
19Tokyo Verdy402226-42
20JEF United Chiba4004213-110