HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

2-0

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.50Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.43

Draw4.55

Away6.48

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.16

Under 1.54.15

Over 2.51.65

Under 2.52.17

Over 3.52.49

Under 3.51.42

Both teams to score

Yes1.79

No1.92

Odd/Even

Odd1.85

Even1.85

Handicap

Home -1.251.95

Away +1.251.78

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Istra 1961 are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 20, 2026, 00:06 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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RIJEKA vs ISTRA 1961 3:2 (4. kolo, SuperSportHNL 26/27)MAXSportUnlock with Premium

Why this prediction

HNK Rijeka and Istra 1961 average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

2-010.9%Projected
1-010.0%Alternative
2-19.0%
1-18.8%
3-08.0%

Top five combined: 46.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHNK RijekaxG1.55

AwayIstra 1961xG0.92

8.5%

13%

10%

5.3%

2.0%

0.6%

0.2%

7.8%

12%

9.3%

4.8%

1.9%

0.6%

0.2%

3.6%

5.5%

4.3%

2.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

1.1%

1.7%

1.3%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.2%52.8% No

Over 1.5 70.5%29.5% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 44.6%55.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 23.4%76.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

HNK Rijeka win and over 2.5 goals28.7%

HNK Rijeka win and both teams score20.6%

Istra 1961 win and over 2.5 goals10.9%

Draw and under 2.5 goals20.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

HNK Rijeka or draw77.7%

Istra 1961 or draw47.9%

Either team wins74.4%

Draw no bet: HNK Rijeka70.0%

Draw no bet: Istra 196130.0%

HNK Rijeka win to nil31.5%

Istra 1961 win to nil12.8%

Team goals

HNK Rijeka to score78.7%

Istra 1961 to score60.0%

HNK Rijeka over 1.5 goals45.7%

Istra 1961 over 1.5 goals23.3%

HNK Rijeka clean sheet40.0%

Istra 1961 clean sheet21.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Team news

Expected formations

Istra 1961: 4-2-3-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961

Head to Head

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 17, 2026	Istra 1961	0 - 0	HNK Rijeka
March 15, 2026	HNK Rijeka	0 - 2	Istra 1961
January 20, 2026	Istra 1961	1 - 2	HNK Rijeka
September 27, 2025	HNK Rijeka	0 - 0	Istra 1961
April 19, 2025	Istra 1961	2 - 0	HNK Rijeka

League Table

HNLCroatia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	NK Osijek	5	4	0	1	12	5	+7	12
2	NK Varazdin	5	4	0	1	11	5	+6	12
3	Dinamo Zagreb	4	3	1	0	11	3	+8	10
3	NK Lokomotiva	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
4	HNK Hajduk Split	5	3	1	1	11	5	+6	10
5	HNK Rijeka	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	7
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	5	2	0	3	7	10	-3	6
7	Istra 1961	5	1	2	2	11	10	+1	5
8	Rudes	5	1	0	4	6	15	-9	3
9	NK Slaven Belupo	5	1	0	4	3	12	-9	3
10	HNK Gorica	5	0	1	4	2	9	-7	1

HNL - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	NK Osijek	5	4	0	1	12	5	7	12
2	NK Varazdin	5	4	0	1	11	5	6	12
3	Dinamo Zagreb	4	3	1	0	11	3	8	10
3	NK Lokomotiva	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	3
4	HNK Hajduk Split	5	3	1	1	11	5	6	10
5	HNK Rijeka	4	2	1	1	5	5	0	7
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	5	2	0	3	7	10	-3	6
7	Istra 1961	5	1	2	2	11	10	1	5
8	Rudes	5	1	0	4	6	15	-9	3
9	NK Slaven Belupo	5	1	0	4	3	12	-9	3
10	HNK Gorica	5	0	1	4	2	9	-7	1

HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Prediction - August 23, 2026

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What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

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Correlated combos

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Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table