Gwangju FC vs Incheon United Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

0-1

Alternative:0-2

Asian Handicap: Away -0.51.78Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.22

Draw3.29

Away1.95

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.46

Under 1.52.73

Over 2.52.32

Under 2.51.61

Over 3.54.34

Under 3.51.22

Both teams to score

Yes1.98

No1.82

Odd/Even

Odd1.96

Even1.84

Handicap

Home +0.252.22

Away -0.251.66

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Incheon United?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 0-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Incheon United are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 20, 2026, 00:06 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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[Full ENG] 2026 K LEAGUE 1 I R24 I Gwangju vs Incheon I 15-Min Extended HighlightsK League InternationalUnlock with Premium

Why this prediction

Incheon United average 1.4 goals per match against 1.2 for Gwangju FC.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

0-113.2%Projected
0-211.9%Alternative
1-110.6%
1-210.0%
0-08.8%

Top five combined: 54.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGwangju FCxG0.94

AwayIncheon UnitedxG1.42

9.4%

8.8%

4.2%

1.3%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

13%

5.9%

1.9%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

9.5%

9.0%

4.2%

1.3%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

4.5%

4.3%

2.0%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

1.6%

1.5%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 46.3%53.7% No

Over 1.5 68.4%31.6% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 42.1%57.9% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 21.4%78.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Gwangju FC win and over 2.5 goals11.9%

Gwangju FC win and both teams score10.2%

Incheon United win and over 2.5 goals25.3%

Draw and under 2.5 goals22.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Gwangju FC or draw51.8%

Incheon United or draw75.1%

Either team wins73.1%

Draw no bet: Gwangju FC34.1%

Draw no bet: Incheon United65.9%

Gwangju FC win to nil14.7%

Incheon United win to nil29.6%

Team goals

Gwangju FC to score61.0%

Incheon United to score75.9%

Gwangju FC over 1.5 goals24.3%

Incheon United over 1.5 goals41.6%

Gwangju FC clean sheet24.1%

Incheon United clean sheet39.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Gwangju FC vs Incheon United

Head to Head

Gwangju FC vs Incheon United: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 16, 2026	Incheon United	4 - 0	Gwangju FC
March 7, 2026	Gwangju FC	3 - 2	Incheon United

League Table

K League 1South Korea · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	+20	42
2	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	+12	32
3	Jeonbuk Motors	19	8	6	5	25	16	+9	30
4	Pohang Steelers	19	8	4	7	20	19	+1	28
5	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	+4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	+4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	19	4	8	7	21	20	+1	20
9	Daejeon Hana Citizen	19	4	8	7	21	20	+1	20
10	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	19	2	11	6	18	26	-8	17
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

K League 1 - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	FC Seoul	19	13	3	3	34	14	20	42
2	Gangwon FC	19	8	8	3	24	12	12	32
3	Jeonbuk Motors	19	8	6	5	25	16	9	30
4	Pohang Steelers	19	8	4	7	20	19	1	28
5	Ulsan Hyundai FC	19	8	4	7	27	28	-1	28
6	FC Anyang	19	6	9	4	26	22	4	27
7	Incheon United	19	8	3	8	24	20	4	27
8	Jeju United FC	19	6	6	7	17	19	-2	24
9	Daejeon Citizen	19	4	8	7	21	20	1	20
9	Daejeon Hana Citizen	19	4	8	7	21	20	1	20
10	Bucheon FC 1995	19	4	7	8	17	24	-7	19
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	19	2	11	6	18	26	-8	17
12	Gwangju FC	19	1	7	11	10	43	-33	10

Gwangju FC vs Incheon United Prediction - August 23, 2026

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What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Incheon United?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

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Scoreline Depth

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

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