Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional Prediction - August 23, 2026

Primera AColombiaFull time
Fortaleza FC
1:2
Atletico Nacional
Projected score
5-5

Alternative:0-1

Bookmaker odds

Home4.58price rising, opened at 3.54
Draw3.34price rising, opened at 3.20
Away1.80price falling, opened at 2.09

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.08price rising, opened at 2.97
Over 2.52.01price falling, opened at 2.08
Under 2.51.76price rising, opened at 1.71
Over 3.53.34price falling, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.24price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.86price rising, opened at 1.82
No1.84price falling, opened at 1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.90
Even1.80
Handicap
Home +0.751.69
Away -0.751.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional?

The model's leading scoreline is 5 - 5, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Atletico Nacional are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-112.7%Alternative
  2. 1-112.7%
  3. 0-09.1%
  4. 1-09.1%
  5. 0-28.9%

Top five combined: 52.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFortaleza FCxG1.00
AwayAtletico NacionalxG1.40
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.1%
9.1%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
13%
13%
6.3%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.9%
8.9%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
4.2%
4.2%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.5%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.6%52.4% No
Over 1.5 69.2%30.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.0%57.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.1%77.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Fortaleza FC win and over 2.5 goals13.2%
Fortaleza FC win and both teams score11.3%
Atletico Nacional win and over 2.5 goals24.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Fortaleza FC or draw53.8%
Atletico Nacional or draw73.2%
Either team wins73.0%
Draw no bet: Fortaleza FC36.7%
Draw no bet: Atletico Nacional63.3%
Fortaleza FC win to nil15.6%
Atletico Nacional win to nil27.8%
Team goals
Fortaleza FC to score63.2%
Atletico Nacional to score75.4%
Fortaleza FC over 1.5 goals26.4%
Atletico Nacional over 1.5 goals40.9%
Fortaleza FC clean sheet24.6%
Atletico Nacional clean sheet36.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional
Head to Head

Head to Head

Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 13, 2026Atletico Nacional4 - 1Fortaleza FC
August 17, 2025Atletico Nacional2 - 2Fortaleza FC
March 5, 2025Fortaleza FC1 - 5Atletico Nacional
League Table

League Table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
11913153515+2040
21911263124+735
31910452925+434
41910362515+1033
5198923122+933
6198742717+1031
7197842922+729
8197752626028
8197752626028
9197662016+427
10197573123+826
11197572624+226
12197572025-526
12197572025-526
13195862620+623
141941051720-322
15195772227-522
161953112033-1318
17193881327-1417
17193881327-1417
181952121532-1717
19193792235-1316
19193792235-1316
201917111532-1710
Primera A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535152040WWLWW
2Junior1911263124735LLLWW
3Deportivo Pasto1910452925434LLLLL
4America de Cali19103625151033WWLDW
5Once Caldas198923122933DWDLW
6Deportes Tolima1987427171031WWLLW
7Santa Fe197842922729DLLDW
8Internacional de Bogota197752626028LLLLW
8La Equidad FC197752626028
9Deportivo Cali197662016427LWDWL
10Millonarios197573123826WLDWL
11Independiente Medellin197572624226WWLWW
12Águilas Doradas197572025-526WWWDL
12Rionegro Aguilas197572025-526
13Bucaramanga195862620623DWLDL
14Llaneros1941051720-322DWLDL
15Fortaleza FC195772227-522DDWLL
16Jaguares1953112033-1318LLWDL
17Alianza Valledupar193881327-1417LDDDL
17Alianza Petrolera193881327-1417
18Chico1952121532-1717LWLLW
19Cucuta193792235-1316LLDLW
19Cúcuta Deportivo193792235-1316
20Deportivo Pereira1917111532-1710DLLWL