Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W Prediction - August 23, 2026

NWSL WomenUSAFull time
Chicago Red Stars W
3:2
Racing Louisville W
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.55Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.91price falling, opened at 3.95
Draw3.84
Away1.71price rising, opened at 1.70

Market move since Aug 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14price rising, opened at 1.13
Under 1.54.70price rising, opened at 4.60
Over 2.51.50price falling, opened at 1.53
Under 2.52.28price falling, opened at 2.31
Over 3.52.34price rising, opened at 2.30
Under 3.51.52price rising, opened at 1.49
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +0.751.75price falling, opened at 1.76
Away -0.751.88price rising, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Racing Louisville W are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Chicago Red Stars W and Racing Louisville W average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.
  • Counter signalRacing Louisville W attack rating 6.9 meets a Chicago Red Stars W defence rating of 6.2.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-28.6%Projected
  2. 1-18.5%Alternative
  3. 2-27.0%
  4. 2-16.9%
  5. 1-35.9%

Top five combined: 36.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeChicago Red Stars WxG1.63
AwayRacing Louisville WxG2.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.6%
4.2%
3.4%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
1
5.2%
8.5%
6.9%
3.8%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
2
5.3%
8.6%
7.0%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
3
3.6%
5.9%
4.8%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.8%
3.0%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 70.0%30.0% No
Over 1.5 88.1%11.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.9%29.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.9%50.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Chicago Red Stars W win and over 2.5 goals23.7%
Chicago Red Stars W win and both teams score20.8%
Racing Louisville W win and over 2.5 goals36.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Chicago Red Stars W or draw52.6%
Racing Louisville W or draw68.7%
Either team wins78.7%
Draw no bet: Chicago Red Stars W39.8%
Draw no bet: Racing Louisville W60.2%
Chicago Red Stars W win to nil10.5%
Racing Louisville W win to nil17.0%
Team goals
Chicago Red Stars W to score80.5%
Racing Louisville W to score86.9%
Chicago Red Stars W over 1.5 goals48.6%
Racing Louisville W over 1.5 goals60.3%
Chicago Red Stars W clean sheet13.1%
Racing Louisville W clean sheet19.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W
Head to Head

Head to Head

Chicago Red Stars W vs Racing Louisville W: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 1, 2026Racing Louisville W2 - 1Chicago Red Stars W
October 10, 2025Racing Louisville W1 - 1Chicago Red Stars W
March 30, 2025Chicago Red Stars W0 - 1Racing Louisville W
League Table

League Table

NWSL WomenUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12213632714+1345
22212463119+1240
32212373928+1139
42212373225+739
52211563630+638
62211384033+736
72210483531+434
8219482626031
9167272021-123
9217683127+427
10207582722+526
112275102830-226
122282122633-726
132272133443-923
142164112128-722
152155112434-1020
162251161347-3416
NWSL Women - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W22136327141345WWDWW
2Washington Spirit W22124631191240LWWWL
3Utah Royals W22123739281139WLWWL
4San Diego Wave W2212373225739WLDLW
5Portland Thorns W2211563630638LDLLW
6North Carolina Courage W2211384033736WLLLW
7Kansas City W2210483531434DWLDL
8OL Reign Women219482626031
9Seattle Reign FC W167272021-123WWLWL
9Denver Summit W217683127427DLWDL
10Angel City W207582722526DLWWW
11Houston Dash W2275102830-226LWDDL
12Orlando Pride W2282122633-726LWLLW
13Racing Louisville W2272133443-923WLWDL
14Bay FC W2164112128-722LLLWW
15Boston Legacy W2155112434-1020DWLWW
16Chicago Red Stars W2251161347-3416LLLLW