Chaves vs AVS Prediction - August 23, 2026

Liga Portugal 2PortugalFull time
Chaves
2:2
AVS
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.02price rising, opened at 1.92
Draw3.36price rising, opened at 3.32
Away3.62price falling, opened at 3.98

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31price rising, opened at 1.26
Under 1.53.25price rising, opened at 3.20
Over 2.52.11price rising, opened at 1.94
Under 2.51.73price falling, opened at 1.82
Over 3.53.42price rising, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.29price rising, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price rising, opened at 1.77
No1.87price falling, opened at 1.95
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.90
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.76
Away +0.252.06

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Chaves vs AVS?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: AVS are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Chaves and AVS average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.1%Projected
  2. 1-010.3%Alternative
  3. 2-18.5%
  4. 2-08.0%
  5. 0-07.2%

Top five combined: 45.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeChavesxG1.30
AwayAVSxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
10%
14%
8.8%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
1
10%
13%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
4.8%
6.3%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.6%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.0%55.0% No
Over 1.5 66.1%33.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 39.4%60.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 19.3%80.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Chaves win and over 2.5 goals21.9%
Chaves win and both teams score16.5%
AVS win and over 2.5 goals12.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Chaves or draw72.3%
AVS or draw55.8%
Either team wins71.9%
Draw no bet: Chaves61.5%
Draw no bet: AVS38.5%
Chaves win to nil27.7%
AVS win to nil16.9%
Team goals
Chaves to score72.7%
AVS to score61.9%
Chaves over 1.5 goals37.3%
AVS over 1.5 goals25.1%
Chaves clean sheet38.1%
AVS clean sheet27.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Chaves vs AVS
Head to Head

Head to Head

Chaves vs AVS: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 11, 2026AVS0 - 1Chaves
League Table

League Table

Liga Portugal 2Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431072+510
2430173+49
3321063+37
4421142+27
5321042+27
6421143+17
7420275+26
842025506
932012206
10311143+14
1130302203
12310225-33
13410326-43
14302134-12
15402259-42
16301213-21
17301202-21
18301237-41
Liga Portugal 2 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lusitânia Lourosa431072510
2Academica43017349
3Farense32106337
4Vizela42114227
5Benfica B32104227
6Portimonense42114317
7União de Leiria42027526
8Leixoes42025506
9Sporting CP B32012206
10Penafiel31114314
11Felgueiras 193230302203
12FC Porto B310225-33
13Tondela410326-43
14AVS302134-12
15Torreense402259-42
16Amarante301213-21
17Feirense301202-21
18Chaves301237-41