CD Marathon vs Real Espana Prediction - August 23, 2026

Liga NacionalHondurasFull time
CD Marathon
1:1
Real Espana
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.23price falling, opened at 2.33
Draw3.04price falling, opened at 3.18
Away3.10price falling, opened at 3.22

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.40price rising, opened at 1.38
Under 1.52.56price falling, opened at 2.85
Over 2.52.29price rising, opened at 2.20
Under 2.51.54price falling, opened at 1.62
Over 3.54.20price rising, opened at 3.80
Under 3.51.15price falling, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.95price falling, opened at 2.00
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.77
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.97
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.89
Away +0.251.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Real Espana?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Real Espana are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • CD Marathon and Real Espana average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.4%Projected
  2. 1-011.0%Alternative
  3. 0-09.5%
  4. 0-18.9%
  5. 2-17.9%

Top five combined: 49.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCD MarathonxG1.26
AwayReal EspanaxG1.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.9%
11%
7.1%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
1
10%
13%
8.2%
3.5%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.0%
7.5%
4.7%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
3
2.3%
2.9%
1.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.2%50.8% No
Over 1.5 69.6%30.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.6%56.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.6%77.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

CD Marathon win and over 2.5 goals20.5%
CD Marathon win and both teams score16.3%
Real Espana win and over 2.5 goals17.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
CD Marathon or draw66.3%
Real Espana or draw61.2%
Either team wins72.5%
Draw no bet: CD Marathon53.5%
Draw no bet: Real Espana46.5%
CD Marathon win to nil22.5%
Real Espana win to nil19.4%
Team goals
CD Marathon to score71.7%
Real Espana to score68.6%
CD Marathon over 1.5 goals36.0%
Real Espana over 1.5 goals32.2%
CD Marathon clean sheet31.4%
Real Espana clean sheet28.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: CD Marathon vs Real Espana
Head to Head

Head to Head

CD Marathon vs Real Espana: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 19, 2026Real Espana1 - 1CD Marathon
April 3, 2026Real Espana2 - 0CD Marathon
February 8, 2026CD Marathon0 - 1Real Espana
October 16, 2025CD Marathon0 - 0Real Espana
August 3, 2025Real Espana1 - 0CD Marathon
League Table

League Table

Liga NacionalHonduras · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15320115+611
2532093+611
3532063+311
45302107+39
55221117+48
6522154+18
7521275+27
8512256-15
95113310-74
10510447-33
115104412-83
125023410-62
Liga Nacional - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CD Olimpia5320115611W
2Real Espana532093611W
3CD Marathon532063311
4CD Motagua530210739W
5Estrella Roja522111748L
6Olancho52215418W
7Génesis52127527W
8Atletico Independiente512256-15
9Platense FC5113310-74L
10Atlético Choloma510447-33L
11Juticalpa5104412-83L
12Lobos Upnfm5023410-62L