Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX Prediction - August 23, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
Birmingham Legion
2:3
Sporting JAX
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.67Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.66price rising, opened at 1.55
Draw4.14price falling, opened at 4.20
Away4.48price falling, opened at 4.64

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price rising, opened at 1.08
Under 1.55.00price falling, opened at 5.55
Over 2.51.50price rising, opened at 1.40
Under 2.52.50price falling, opened at 2.56
Over 3.52.22price rising, opened at 2.09
Under 3.51.62price falling, opened at 1.66
Both teams to score
Yes1.54price rising, opened at 1.47
No2.38price falling, opened at 2.47
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.78
Away +0.752.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Birmingham Legion and Sporting JAX average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.2%Projected
  2. 1-17.7%Alternative
  3. 2-07.3%
  4. 1-06.7%
  5. 3-16.7%

Top five combined: 37.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBirmingham LegionxG1.99
AwaySporting JAXxG0.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.1%
10%
10%
6.7%
3.4%
1.3%
0.6%
1
5.0%
10%
10.0%
6.6%
3.3%
1.3%
0.6%
2
2.5%
4.9%
4.9%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.3%
3
0.8%
1.6%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.0%46.0% No
Over 1.5 79.7%20.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.0%43.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.6%65.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Birmingham Legion win and over 2.5 goals40.5%
Birmingham Legion win and both teams score28.5%
Sporting JAX win and over 2.5 goals10.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Birmingham Legion or draw82.0%
Sporting JAX or draw39.2%
Either team wins78.8%
Draw no bet: Birmingham Legion77.2%
Draw no bet: Sporting JAX22.8%
Birmingham Legion win to nil32.4%
Sporting JAX win to nil8.5%
Team goals
Birmingham Legion to score86.3%
Sporting JAX to score62.5%
Birmingham Legion over 1.5 goals59.2%
Sporting JAX over 1.5 goals25.7%
Birmingham Legion clean sheet37.5%
Sporting JAX clean sheet13.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12312473929+1040
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22011452920+937
3229853331+235
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42110562619+735
5188282020026
5229852826+235
6218852819+932
6195772431-722
7229493332+131
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
8229493126+531
9174851216-420
9228592832-429
10173952129-818
10227873130+129
11173861821-317
11236982831-327
122345142441-1717
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive23124739291040LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United2011452920937WWWWD
3Orange County SC229853331235WWDDW
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4FC Tulsa2110562619735WDWLW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5San Antonio229852826235WWLDW
6Sacramento Republic218852819932WWDWL
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7Colorado Springs229493332131LWWWL
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Lexington229493126531WDWLW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Las Vegas Lights228592832-429DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
10Phoenix Rising227873130129DDWLL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots236982831-327LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2345142441-1717LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD