Balzan FC vs Mosta Prediction - August 23, 2026

Premier LeagueMaltaFull time
Balzan FC
2:1
Mosta
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.09price falling, opened at 2.15
Draw3.20price rising, opened at 3.16
Away3.23price rising, opened at 3.13

Market move since Aug 23. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31price falling, opened at 1.32
Under 1.52.92price rising, opened at 2.88
Over 2.52.02price falling, opened at 2.05
Under 2.51.69price rising, opened at 1.67
Over 3.53.50price falling, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.22price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.80price falling, opened at 1.81
No1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.78price falling, opened at 1.80
Away +0.251.84price rising, opened at 1.81

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Balzan FC vs Mosta?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Balzan FC and Mosta average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-111.3%Projected
  2. 1-110.7%Alternative
  3. 0-210.5%
  4. 1-29.9%
  5. 0-36.5%

Top five combined: 48.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBalzan FCxG0.94
AwayMostaxG1.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.1%
5.7%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
1
11%
11%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
2
10%
9.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
6.5%
6.1%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
3.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.5%48.5% No
Over 1.5 76.9%23.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.0%47.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.8%69.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Balzan FC win and over 2.5 goals10.3%
Balzan FC win and both teams score9.2%
Mosta win and over 2.5 goals37.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Balzan FC or draw41.2%
Mosta or draw81.2%
Either team wins77.6%
Draw no bet: Balzan FC24.2%
Draw no bet: Mosta75.8%
Balzan FC win to nil9.5%
Mosta win to nil32.9%
Team goals
Balzan FC to score61.0%
Mosta to score84.4%
Balzan FC over 1.5 goals24.3%
Mosta over 1.5 goals55.3%
Balzan FC clean sheet15.6%
Mosta clean sheet39.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Balzan FC vs Mosta
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueMalta · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330051+49
2321061+57
3321042+27
4320184+46
5320151+46
6311132+14
7311145-14
831114404
9310225-33
10301214-31
11300316-50
12300319-80
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Mosta33005149
2Floriana32106157
3Marsaxlokk32104227
4Valletta FC32018446
5Birkirkara32015146
6Hibernians31113214
7Zabbar St. Patrick311145-14
8Balzan FC31114404
9Sliema Wanderers310225-33
10Hamrun Spartans301214-31
11Birzebbuga300316-50
12Gzira United300319-80