Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca Prediction - August 23, 2026

Liga MXMexicoFull time
Atletico San Luis
1:1
CF Pachuca
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.05price falling, opened at 3.15
Draw3.45price rising, opened at 3.40
Away2.30price rising, opened at 2.20

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price falling, opened at 1.27
Under 1.53.80price rising, opened at 3.75
Over 2.51.81price falling, opened at 1.83
Under 2.52.00price rising, opened at 1.97
Over 3.52.88price falling, opened at 3.00
Under 3.51.38price rising, opened at 1.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.65price falling, opened at 1.67
No2.20price rising, opened at 2.15
Odd/Even
Odd1.89
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +0.251.84price falling, opened at 1.88
Away -0.251.96price rising, opened at 1.92
Corners
Over 8.51.80price falling, opened at 1.86
Under 8.51.94price rising, opened at 1.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CF Pachuca are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match analysis

Three defeats by two goals or more in five matches tell you most of what you need about Atletico San Luis' defence heading into their meeting with CF Pachuca on 23 August, where Superior backs Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. The model's read on this line sits at 74 percent, close to the roughly 78 percent break-even the price needs, with both sides averaging an even 1.0 goals a game.

San Luis are winless in five, shipping goals throughout

Three defeats by two goals or more, alongside two draws, leave San Luis without a win across this stretch and with a defence that has looked open in almost every game. Pachuca's own 1.0 goals a game does not need to improve much against a side conceding at that rate for this line to clear.

San Luis were held scoreless by Tijuana three weeks ago

That leaky record is not universal: San Luis drew 0-0 with Club Tijuana in their most recent home game before this run of defeats, proof this misfiring attack can go quiet at home. Pair that with a flat night from Pachuca, who have also lost four of their last five, and this Over 1.5 line is the one that misses.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.4%Projected
  2. 1-29.1%Alternative
  3. 0-18.8%
  4. 0-27.7%
  5. 2-17.7%

Top five combined: 45.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtletico San LuisxG1.20
AwayCF PachucaxG1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.0%
8.3%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
1
10%
12%
7.3%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.5%
9.0%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
3
3.7%
4.4%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.3%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.7%46.3% No
Over 1.5 74.5%25.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.7%50.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.8%72.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atletico San Luis win and over 2.5 goals17.6%
Atletico San Luis win and both teams score14.8%
CF Pachuca win and over 2.5 goals25.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Atletico San Luis or draw56.6%
CF Pachuca or draw69.1%
Either team wins74.3%
Draw no bet: Atletico San Luis41.6%
Draw no bet: CF Pachuca58.4%
Atletico San Luis win to nil16.1%
CF Pachuca win to nil23.2%
Team goals
Atletico San Luis to score69.8%
CF Pachuca to score76.9%
Atletico San Luis over 1.5 goals33.6%
CF Pachuca over 1.5 goals43.1%
Atletico San Luis clean sheet23.1%
CF Pachuca clean sheet30.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca
Head to Head

Head to Head

Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 14, 2026Atletico San Luis1 - 1Pachuca
September 27, 2025Pachuca2 - 1Atletico San Luis
April 21, 2025Atletico San Luis2 - 1Pachuca
League Table

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410102+813
26411107+313
3540185+312
4531184+410
5531185+310
6531197+210
7631286+210
85302127+59
96303111109
1062228808
1152126607
126213811-37
13613268-26
1451137704
155113810-24
16503259-43
175005411-70
185005315-120
Liga MX - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Club America5410102813WDW
2Club Tijuana6411107313DWW
3Atlas540185312LWW
4Toluca531184410WLW
5Guadalajara Chivas531185310DWL
6Puebla531197210DLW
7Leon631286210WLL
8Monterrey530212759WLW
9Cruz Azul6303111109LWW
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas62228808WWL
11Club Queretaro52126607WWL
12Necaxa6213811-37LWW
13Atlante FC613268-26WDL
14CF Pachuca51137704LLW
15Tigres UANL5113810-24LDL
16Atletico San Luis503259-43DDL
17Santos Laguna5005411-70LLL
18FC Juarez5005315-120LLL