Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Prediction - August 22, 2026

First LeagueRussiaFull time
Volga Ulyanovsk
1:3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.24Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.44price rising, opened at 2.33
Draw3.24price falling, opened at 3.40
Away2.85price falling, opened at 3.04

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.45price rising, opened at 1.31
Under 1.52.63price falling, opened at 2.92
Over 2.52.19price rising, opened at 2.08
Under 2.51.63price falling, opened at 1.75
Over 3.53.92price rising, opened at 3.50
Under 3.51.23price rising, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.93price rising, opened at 1.81
No1.82price falling, opened at 1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.82price falling, opened at 1.85
Even1.92price rising, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +01.78
Away +02.04

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Shinnik Yaroslavl are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Volga Ulyanovsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.9%Projected
  2. 1-011.2%Alternative
  3. 0-09.4%
  4. 0-19.3%
  5. 2-18.7%

Top five combined: 51.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVolga UlyanovskxG1.53
AwayShinnik YaroslavlxG1.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5%
8.4%
6.5%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
7.5%
12%
8.8%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
5.2%
7.9%
6.0%
3.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
3
2.3%
3.6%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 58.4%41.6% No
Over 1.5 78.5%21.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.3%44.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.0%67.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Volga Ulyanovsk win and over 2.5 goals26.4%
Volga Ulyanovsk win and both teams score21.3%
Shinnik Yaroslavl win and over 2.5 goals21.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Volga Ulyanovsk or draw66.0%
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw58.7%
Either team wins75.3%
Draw no bet: Volga Ulyanovsk54.9%
Draw no bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl45.1%
Volga Ulyanovsk win to nil20.0%
Shinnik Yaroslavl win to nil16.1%
Team goals
Volga Ulyanovsk to score78.4%
Shinnik Yaroslavl to score74.5%
Volga Ulyanovsk over 1.5 goals45.2%
Shinnik Yaroslavl over 1.5 goals39.6%
Volga Ulyanovsk clean sheet25.5%
Shinnik Yaroslavl clean sheet21.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Volga Ulyanovsk: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Head to Head

Head to Head

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 12, 2026Volga Ulyanovsk0 - 1Shinnik Yaroslavl
September 7, 2025Shinnik Yaroslavl2 - 0Volga Ulyanovsk
League Table

League Table

First LeagueRussia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
197112713+1422
297021310+321
396121811+719
48512155+1016
58431144+1015
68431128+415
78431128+415
88341129+313
99333914-512
1093151212010
1182421112-110
129306513-89
13411286+24
138215915-67
148215914-57
159135511-66
168134410-66
179126916-75
188107617-113
First League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Nizhny Novgorod971127131422WWWW
2Veles97021310321WLWW
3PFC Sochi96121811719
4Torpedo Moskva85121551016LDWW
5Ural84311441015WDWL
6Spartak Kostroma8431128415DDWW
7FC UFA8431128415DWDW
8Shinnik Yaroslavl8341129313LDWD
9Arsenal Tula9333914-512WLLW
10Rotor Volgograd93151212010LWWL
11Enisey82421112-110DWLW
12FK Neftekhimik9306513-89WLWL
13FC Sochi41128624LWLD
13Chelyabinsk8215915-67WLLW
14Volga Ulyanovsk8215914-57LWLL
15Tekstilshchik9135511-66LDDL
16Leningradets8134410-66WDLL
17KAMAZ9126916-75DLLL
18Ska-khabarovsk8107617-113LLLL