Valmiera / BSS vs Mārupe Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

3-1

Alternative:2-2

Match Winner: Home1.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.30

Draw5.61

Away7.65

Market move since Aug 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.06

Under 1.57.00

Over 2.51.27

Under 2.53.40

Over 3.51.75

Under 3.52.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.72

No2.00

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home -1.751.79

Away +1.751.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Valmiera / BSS vs Mārupe?

The model's leading scoreline is 3 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Valmiera / BSS are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 20, 2026, 00:06 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

Valmiera / BSS average 3.8 goals per match against 1.0 for Mārupe.
Valmiera / BSS won 5 of their last 5 matches; Mārupe won 1 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

3-17.7%Projected
2-17.3%
4-16.1%
3-25.4%
3-05.4%

Top five combined: 31.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeValmiera / BSSxG3.16

AwayMārupexG1.42

1.0%

3.2%

5.1%

5.4%

4.3%

2.7%

2.4%

1.5%

4.6%

7.3%

7.7%

6.1%

3.8%

3.5%

1.0%

3.3%

5.2%

5.4%

4.3%

2.7%

2.5%

0.5%

1.5%

2.4%

2.6%

2.0%

1.3%

1.2%

0.2%

0.5%

0.9%

0.7%

0.5%

0.4%

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 72.6%27.4% No

Over 1.5 94.3%5.7% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 83.5%16.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 67.1%32.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Valmiera / BSS win and over 2.5 goals63.5%

Valmiera / BSS win and both teams score48.7%

Mārupe win and over 2.5 goals11.5%

Draw and under 2.5 goals5.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Valmiera / BSS or draw86.0%

Mārupe or draw28.2%

Either team wins85.8%

Draw no bet: Valmiera / BSS83.7%

Draw no bet: Mārupe16.3%

Valmiera / BSS win to nil23.1%

Mārupe win to nil3.2%

Team goals

Valmiera / BSS to score95.8%

Mārupe to score75.8%

Valmiera / BSS over 1.5 goals82.4%

Mārupe over 1.5 goals41.5%

Valmiera / BSS clean sheet24.2%

Mārupe clean sheet4.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Valmiera / BSS vs Mārupe

Head to Head

Valmiera / BSS vs Mārupe: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 18, 2026	Mārupe	2 - 3	Valmiera / BSS

League Table

1. LigaLatvia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Metta / LU	18	15	2	1	77	14	+63	47
2	Valmiera / BSS	17	14	2	1	48	15	+33	44
3	Leevon / PPK	18	13	3	2	33	21	+12	42
4	Riga Mariners	18	12	5	1	40	17	+23	41
5	JDFS Alberts	18	10	4	4	37	24	+13	34
6	Mārupe	19	8	1	10	29	32	-3	25
7	Super Nova 2	19	6	6	7	26	28	-2	24
8	Riga FC II	18	6	3	9	25	34	-9	21
9	Skanste	17	6	2	9	31	33	-2	20
10	JFK Ventspils	17	2	6	9	19	29	-10	12
11	Tukums II	16	3	3	10	21	45	-24	12
12	Rīgas FS II	18	3	3	12	24	51	-27	12
13	Smiltene	18	2	4	12	21	53	-32	10
14	Rēzekne FA	17	1	2	14	13	48	-35	5

1. Liga - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Metta / LU	18	15	2	1	77	14	63	47	DWWWW
2	Valmiera / BSS	17	14	2	1	48	15	33	44	WWWWW
3	Leevon / PPK	18	13	3	2	33	21	12	42	WWWLL
4	Riga Mariners	18	12	5	1	40	17	23	41	WDLWW
5	JDFS Alberts	18	10	4	4	37	24	13	34	DDWLW
6	Mārupe	19	8	1	10	29	32	-3	25	LWLWL
7	Super Nova 2	19	6	6	7	26	28	-2	24	LDLDW
8	Riga FC II	18	6	3	9	25	34	-9	21	DLWWW
9	Skanste	17	6	2	9	31	33	-2	20	WLLLL
10	JFK Ventspils	17	2	6	9	19	29	-10	12	LDLWD
11	Tukums II	16	3	3	10	21	45	-24	12	DLWLL
12	Rīgas FS II	18	3	3	12	24	51	-27	12	LWLDL
13	Smiltene	18	2	4	12	21	53	-32	10	WLWLL
14	Rēzekne FA	17	1	2	14	13	48	-35	5	LLLDL

Valmiera / BSS vs Mārupe Prediction - August 22, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Valmiera / BSS vs Mārupe?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

More 1. Liga Predictions

Head to Head

League Table