Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction - August 22, 2026

USL League OneUSAFull time
Union Omaha
1:1
Sarasota Paradise
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Over 2.51.58Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.55price rising, opened at 1.45
Draw4.29price rising, opened at 4.25
Away5.23price falling, opened at 5.60

Market move since Aug 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price rising, opened at 1.14
Under 1.54.50price rising, opened at 4.33
Over 2.51.54price falling, opened at 1.56
Under 2.52.38price rising, opened at 2.25
Over 3.52.31price falling, opened at 2.35
Under 3.51.57price rising, opened at 1.47
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price rising, opened at 1.66
No2.02price falling, opened at 2.05
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -1.252.01
Away +1.251.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Union Omaha are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Union Omaha and Sarasota Paradise average 3.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-18.9%Projected
  2. 3-17.7%
  3. 1-16.8%Alternative
  4. 2-06.8%
  5. 3-05.9%

Top five combined: 36.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUnion OmahaxG2.61
AwaySarasota ParadisexG1.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.0%
5.2%
6.8%
5.9%
3.8%
2.0%
1.3%
1
2.6%
6.8%
8.9%
7.7%
5.0%
2.6%
1.8%
2
1.7%
4.4%
5.8%
5.0%
3.3%
1.7%
1.2%
3
0.7%
1.9%
2.5%
2.2%
1.4%
0.7%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.8%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.2%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 67.6%32.4% No
Over 1.5 90.2%9.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 74.9%25.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 55.0%45.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Union Omaha win and over 2.5 goals53.4%
Union Omaha win and both teams score40.3%
Sarasota Paradise win and over 2.5 goals13.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Union Omaha or draw82.7%
Sarasota Paradise or draw34.6%
Either team wins82.7%
Draw no bet: Union Omaha79.1%
Draw no bet: Sarasota Paradise20.9%
Union Omaha win to nil25.1%
Sarasota Paradise win to nil5.4%
Team goals
Union Omaha to score92.6%
Sarasota Paradise to score72.9%
Union Omaha over 1.5 goals73.5%
Sarasota Paradise over 1.5 goals37.6%
Union Omaha clean sheet27.1%
Sarasota Paradise clean sheet7.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Union Omaha vs Sarasota Paradise
League Table

League Table

USL League OneUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12315445329+2449
22414464127+1446
32313464325+1843
42211653725+1239
52112273227+538
62311573633+338
72211294135+635
8228773025+531
9237972832-430
10247893134-329
112382132739-1226
122365123435-123
132265112735-823
142458113342-923
152365122336-1323
162355132544-1920
172355132143-2220
1800000000
USL League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Charlotte Independence23154453292449WWLLD
2Union Omaha24144641271446WWDWL
3Forward Madison23134643251843WWWWW
4One Knoxville22116537251239LLLWW
5Spokane Velocity2112273227538WWWLL
6Boise2311573633338DLWWW
7Chattanooga Red Wolves2211294135635LWWWL
8Fort Wayne228773025531LLWLW
9Corpus Christi237972832-430DWDWL
10Alta247893134-329LDWLD
11Naples2382132739-1226LLLLL
12Westchester SC2365123435-123LDWDL
13Greenville Triumph2265112735-823DWLLD
14Portland Hearts of Pine2458113342-923DLLWW
15Sarasota Paradise2365122336-1323DDLWL
16NY Cosmos2355132544-1920LLDWL
17Richmond Kickers2355132143-2220WLLLD
18Tormenta00000000