Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau Prediction - August 22, 2026

BundesligaAustriaFull time
Sturm Graz
1:1
Austria Lustenau
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.61Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.38price rising, opened at 1.33
Draw5.05price falling, opened at 5.25
Away7.60price falling, opened at 8.00

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14price rising, opened at 1.11
Under 1.55.50price rising, opened at 4.95
Over 2.51.52price rising, opened at 1.45
Under 2.52.50price rising, opened at 2.42
Over 3.52.27
Under 3.51.62price rising, opened at 1.61
Both teams to score
Yes1.77price rising, opened at 1.76
No2.02price rising, opened at 1.96
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -1.52.00price rising, opened at 1.92
Away +1.51.80price falling, opened at 1.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sturm Graz are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Sturm Graz and Austria Lustenau average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-09.7%Projected
  2. 1-08.5%Alternative
  3. 2-18.5%
  4. 3-07.6%
  5. 1-16.9%

Top five combined: 41.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSturm GrazxG1.40
AwayAustria LustenauxG0.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15%
21%
14%
6.7%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.6%
11%
7.5%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
2.0%
2.8%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
0.3%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 30.5%69.5% No
Over 1.5 57.2%42.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 30.2%69.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 12.9%87.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sturm Graz win and over 2.5 goals24.0%
Sturm Graz win and both teams score14.0%
Austria Lustenau win and over 2.5 goals4.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sturm Graz or draw86.3%
Austria Lustenau or draw41.1%
Either team wins72.6%
Draw no bet: Sturm Graz81.1%
Draw no bet: Austria Lustenau18.9%
Sturm Graz win to nil44.9%
Austria Lustenau win to nil10.0%
Team goals
Sturm Graz to score75.4%
Austria Lustenau to score40.5%
Sturm Graz over 1.5 goals40.9%
Austria Lustenau over 1.5 goals9.6%
Sturm Graz clean sheet59.5%
Austria Lustenau clean sheet24.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau
League Table

League Table

BundesligaAustria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15500152+1315
24400142+1212
3431092+710
4522165+18
5520358-36
651226605
7512259-45
8411267-14
95113610-44
105113213-114
11510448-43
12410339-63
Bundesliga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lask Linz55001521315
2Rapid Vienna44001421212
3Red Bull Salzburg431092710
4Sturm Graz52216518
5TSV Hartberg520358-36
6Wolfsberger AC51226605
7Austria Lustenau512259-45
8WSG Wattens411267-14
9Ried5113610-44
10Grazer AK5113213-114
11SCR Altach510448-43
12Austria Vienna410339-63