Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi City Prediction - August 22, 2026

J2 LeagueJapanFull time
Sagan Tosu
1:3
Tochigi City
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.30Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.00price rising, opened at 1.88
Draw3.26price falling, opened at 3.40
Away3.80price rising, opened at 3.65

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price rising, opened at 1.26
Under 1.53.50price rising, opened at 3.20
Over 2.52.01price rising, opened at 1.92
Under 2.51.80price rising, opened at 1.79
Over 3.53.33price rising, opened at 3.28
Under 3.51.30price rising, opened at 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price falling, opened at 1.77
No2.02price rising, opened at 1.92
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.76price rising, opened at 1.64
Away +0.252.06price falling, opened at 2.08

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi City?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Tochigi City are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.9%Projected
  2. 1-010.3%Alternative
  3. 2-110.0%
  4. 2-09.8%
  5. 0-07.4%

Top five combined: 48.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSagan TosuxG1.75
AwayTochigi CityxG1.34
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.6%
8.0%
7.0%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
1
6.1%
11%
9.3%
5.4%
2.4%
0.8%
0.3%
2
4.1%
7.1%
6.2%
3.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
3
1.8%
3.2%
2.8%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.6%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.9%39.1% No
Over 1.5 81.3%18.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 59.6%40.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 37.2%62.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sagan Tosu win and over 2.5 goals32.2%
Sagan Tosu win and both teams score25.5%
Tochigi City win and over 2.5 goals19.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sagan Tosu or draw70.6%
Tochigi City or draw52.8%
Either team wins76.6%
Draw no bet: Sagan Tosu61.6%
Draw no bet: Tochigi City38.4%
Sagan Tosu win to nil21.7%
Tochigi City win to nil12.8%
Team goals
Sagan Tosu to score82.6%
Tochigi City to score73.7%
Sagan Tosu over 1.5 goals52.2%
Tochigi City over 1.5 goals38.6%
Sagan Tosu clean sheet26.3%
Tochigi City clean sheet17.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi City
League Table

League Table

J2 LeagueJapan · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330083+59
2321020+27
3320182+66
4320183+56
5320152+36
6320141+36
7320143+16
8320132+16
9311142+24
1031113304
1131112204
12311145-14
13311145-14
14310246-23
15310248-43
16310227-53
17302112-12
18301214-31
19301216-51
20300339-60
Relegation
J2 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Omiya Ardija33008359
2Shonan Bellmare32102027
3Kataller Toyama32018266
4Tochigi City32018356
5Fujieda MYFC32015236
6Montedio Yamagata32014136
7Yokohama FC32014316
8Albirex Niigata32013216
9Oita Trinita31114224
10Sagan Tosu31113304
11Vegalta Sendai31112204
12Jubilo Iwata311145-14
13Blaublitz Akita311145-14
14Consadole Sapporo310246-23
15Iwaki310248-43
16Vanraure Hachinohe310227-53
17Tegevajaro Miyazaki302112-12
18Tokushima Vortis301214-31
19Ventforet Kofu301216-51
20Imabari300339-60