Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction - August 22, 2026

I LigaPolandFull time
Polonia Bytom
2:2
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.13price rising, opened at 1.90
Draw3.74price rising, opened at 3.58
Away3.01price falling, opened at 3.41

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price rising, opened at 1.15
Under 1.54.50price rising, opened at 4.30
Over 2.51.60price rising, opened at 1.59
Under 2.52.25price rising, opened at 2.21
Over 3.52.48price rising, opened at 2.43
Under 3.51.50price rising, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.54price rising, opened at 1.53
No2.38price rising, opened at 2.32
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.82price rising, opened at 1.66
Away +0.251.98price falling, opened at 2.04

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-19.1%Projected
  2. 2-17.9%Alternative
  3. 1-06.7%
  4. 2-06.4%
  5. 1-26.4%

Top five combined: 36.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePolonia BytomxG2.34
AwayPogoń Grod. MazowieckixG1.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.4%
3.2%
3.7%
2.9%
1.7%
0.8%
0.5%
1
2.7%
6.2%
7.3%
5.7%
3.3%
1.6%
0.9%
2
2.6%
6.1%
7.1%
5.6%
3.3%
1.5%
0.9%
3
1.7%
4.0%
4.7%
3.6%
2.1%
1.0%
0.6%
4
0.8%
2.0%
2.3%
1.8%
1.0%
0.5%
0.3%
5
0.3%
0.8%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 77.7%22.3% No
Over 1.5 92.8%7.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 80.3%19.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 62.4%37.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Polonia Bytom win and over 2.5 goals40.3%
Polonia Bytom win and both teams score34.5%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win and over 2.5 goals27.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals7.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Polonia Bytom or draw66.8%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw52.8%
Either team wins80.4%
Draw no bet: Polonia Bytom58.7%
Draw no bet: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki41.3%
Polonia Bytom win to nil12.7%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win to nil8.3%
Team goals
Polonia Bytom to score90.4%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score86.0%
Polonia Bytom over 1.5 goals67.8%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over 1.5 goals58.4%
Polonia Bytom clean sheet14.0%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki clean sheet9.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Head to Head

Head to Head

Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 28, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2 - 1Polonia Bytom
August 20, 2025Polonia Bytom3 - 0Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
League Table

League Table

I LigaPoland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16330105+512
26321105+511
3531182+610
46312108+210
5530284+49
65302108+29
7622276+18
862226608
962221113-28
10521285+37
116213910-17
12521235-27
1220204402
136213711-47
14620457-26
15620459-46
166051810-25
1751221114-35
186123412-85
Relegation
I Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki6330105512WW
2ŁKS Łódź6321105511WD
3Miedz Legnica531182610WD
4Polonia Warszawa6312108210WW
5Arka Gdynia53028449WW
6Warta Poznań530210829WL
7Pogoń Siedlce62227618LD
8Odra Opole62226608WL
9Stal Mielec62221113-28DW
10Chrobry Głogów52128537LW
11Nieciecza6213910-17WW
12Ruch Chorzów521235-27LL
12Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała20204402
13Lechia Gdansk6213711-47LL
14Puszcza Niepołomice620457-26LL
15Unia Skierniewice620459-46LL
16Podbeskidzie6051810-25DD
17Polonia Bytom51221114-35LW
18Stal Rzeszów6123412-85LL