Parma vs Cagliari Prediction - August 22, 2026

Serie AItalyFull time
Parma
0:1
Cagliari
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.92price rising, opened at 2.55
Draw2.90price falling, opened at 3.02
Away2.73price falling, opened at 3.04

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.63price rising, opened at 1.44
Under 1.52.29price falling, opened at 2.56
Over 2.52.99price rising, opened at 2.43
Under 2.51.39price falling, opened at 1.56
Over 3.55.75price rising, opened at 4.40
Under 3.51.14price falling, opened at 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes2.25price rising, opened at 1.98
No1.65price falling, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.92
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home +01.96price rising, opened at 1.75
Away +01.84price falling, opened at 2.08

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Parma vs Cagliari?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Cagliari are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Parma and Cagliari average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-113.6%Projected
  2. 1-011.7%Alternative
  3. 0-110.5%
  4. 0-010.0%
  5. 2-18.2%

Top five combined: 54.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeParmaxG1.14
AwayCagliarixG0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
14%
7.7%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
1
12%
13%
7.6%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
5.8%
6.6%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.9%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.7%57.3% No
Over 1.5 62.8%37.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 35.8%64.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.7%83.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Parma win and over 2.5 goals17.7%
Parma win and both teams score13.7%
Cagliari win and over 2.5 goals13.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Parma or draw68.6%
Cagliari or draw61.0%
Either team wins70.4%
Draw no bet: Parma55.4%
Draw no bet: Cagliari44.6%
Parma win to nil25.3%
Cagliari win to nil20.1%
Team goals
Parma to score68.0%
Cagliari to score62.8%
Parma over 1.5 goals31.5%
Cagliari over 1.5 goals26.1%
Parma clean sheet37.2%
Cagliari clean sheet32.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Parma vs Cagliari
Head to Head

Head to Head

Parma vs Cagliari: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 27, 2026Parma1 - 1Cagliari
September 13, 2025Cagliari2 - 0Parma
League Table

League Table

Serie AItaly · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1220080+86
2220051+46
3220041+36
4220030+36
5220031+26
6220020+26
7211043+14
8211032+14
9210131+23
10210132+13
1121013303
1221011103
13210124-23
14200224-20
15200202-20
16200203-30
17200203-30
18200237-40
19200204-40
20200207-70
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1AS Roma22008086
2Inter22005146
3AC Milan22004136
4Juventus22003036
5Atalanta22003126
6Lazio22002026
7Udinese21104314
8Como21103214
9Frosinone21013123
10Napoli21013213
11Sassuolo21013303
12Cagliari21011103
13Lecce210124-23
14Torino200224-20
15Bologna200202-20
16Genoa200203-30
17Parma200203-30
18Monza200237-40
19Venezia200204-40
20Fiorentina200207-70