Ogre United vs FS Jelgava Prediction - August 22, 2026

VirsligaLatviaFull time
Ogre United
2:3
FS Jelgava
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:0-2

Asian Handicap: Away -0.51.84Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.95price rising, opened at 3.71
Draw3.74price rising, opened at 3.62
Away1.72price falling, opened at 1.80

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals
Over 1.51.15price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.54.20price rising, opened at 3.92
Over 2.51.61price falling, opened at 1.67
Under 2.52.15price rising, opened at 2.05
Over 3.52.49price falling, opened at 2.63
Under 3.51.42price rising, opened at 1.38
Both teams to score
Yes1.57price falling, opened at 1.60
No2.20price rising, opened at 2.15
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +0.751.74price rising, opened at 1.66
Away -0.751.89price falling, opened at 1.99

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 0-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FS Jelgava are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • FS Jelgava won 2 of their last 5 matches; Ogre United won 0 of 5.
  • FS Jelgava average 1.6 goals per match against 1.2 for Ogre United.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-217.4%Projected
  2. 0-214.5%Alternative
  3. 2-211.9%
  4. 1-310.9%
  5. 0-310.0%

Top five combined: 64.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeOgre UnitedxG1.25
AwayFS JelgavaxG1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.6%
8.2%
5.1%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
9.7%
12%
7.5%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.2%
8.9%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
3
3.5%
4.4%
2.7%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.3%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.9%45.1% No
Over 1.5 75.5%24.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.1%48.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.0%71.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Ogre United win and over 2.5 goals18.7%
Ogre United win and both teams score15.7%
FS Jelgava win and over 2.5 goals25.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Ogre United or draw57.5%
FS Jelgava or draw68.0%
Either team wins74.5%
Draw no bet: Ogre United43.0%
Draw no bet: FS Jelgava57.0%
Ogre United win to nil16.3%
FS Jelgava win to nil22.2%
Team goals
Ogre United to score71.2%
FS Jelgava to score77.1%
Ogre United over 1.5 goals35.4%
FS Jelgava over 1.5 goals43.3%
Ogre United clean sheet22.9%
FS Jelgava clean sheet28.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Ogre United vs FS Jelgava
Head to Head

Head to Head

Ogre United vs FS Jelgava: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 17, 2026FS Jelgava0 - 2Ogre United
League Table

League Table

VirsligaLatvia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12621326520+4566
22620517924+5565
32716564427+1753
428107113332+137
527114123639-337
62887133247-1531
72685132738-1129
82859142050-3024
92848164158-1720
102635182668-4214
Virsliga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Rīgas FS26213265204566WWDWW
2Riga26205179245565WWWWD
3Auda27165644271753WDLDW
4BFC Daugavpils28107113332137WLWWL
5FK Liepaja27114123639-337LWLWL
6FS Jelgava2887133247-1531LLLLW
7Super Nova2685132738-1129WLWLL
8Grobiņa2859142050-3024LDLWL
9Tukums2848164158-1720WLLLL
10Ogre United2635182668-4214DLWLW