Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton Prediction - August 22, 2026

League TwoScotlandFull time
Kelty Hearts
3:1
Dumbarton
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.45Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.69price rising, opened at 1.53
Draw3.64price falling, opened at 3.88
Away4.32price falling, opened at 5.31

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16
Under 1.54.15price rising, opened at 4.10
Over 2.51.61price falling, opened at 1.65
Under 2.52.07price falling, opened at 2.11
Over 3.52.62price rising, opened at 2.56
Under 3.51.43price rising, opened at 1.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.61price falling, opened at 1.70
No2.16price rising, opened at 2.01
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.751.85
Away +0.751.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Kelty Hearts are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Kelty Hearts and Dumbarton average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.0%Projected
  2. 1-09.8%Alternative
  3. 2-19.7%
  4. 2-09.1%
  5. 0-07.5%

Top five combined: 46.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKelty HeartsxG2.35
AwayDumbartonxG1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.7%
6.5%
7.6%
5.9%
3.5%
1.6%
0.9%
1
3.4%
8.0%
9.4%
7.4%
4.3%
2.0%
1.2%
2
2.1%
5.0%
5.9%
4.6%
2.7%
1.3%
0.7%
3
0.9%
2.1%
2.4%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 64.4%35.6% No
Over 1.5 87.4%12.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 69.6%30.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 48.3%51.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Kelty Hearts win and over 2.5 goals48.0%
Kelty Hearts win and both teams score35.9%
Dumbarton win and over 2.5 goals13.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Kelty Hearts or draw81.0%
Dumbarton or draw38.0%
Either team wins81.0%
Draw no bet: Kelty Hearts76.5%
Draw no bet: Dumbarton23.5%
Kelty Hearts win to nil26.1%
Dumbarton win to nil6.8%
Team goals
Kelty Hearts to score90.5%
Dumbarton to score71.2%
Kelty Hearts over 1.5 goals68.1%
Dumbarton over 1.5 goals35.3%
Kelty Hearts clean sheet28.8%
Dumbarton clean sheet9.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton
Head to Head

Head to Head

Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 23, 2025Dumbarton3 - 3Kelty Hearts
April 5, 2025Kelty Hearts0 - 6Dumbarton
League Table

League Table

League TwoScotland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1430183+59
24220135+88
3522165+18
4420278-16
5412198+15
6411268-24
7411246-24
8522178-13
9410347-33
10410328-63
League Two - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Clyde43018359W
2Elgin City422013588W
3Forfar Athletic52216518W
4Kelty Hearts420278-16L
5Spartans41219815W
6Stirling Albion411268-24W
7Stranraer411246-24L
8Edinburgh City522178-13L
9Annan Athletic410347-33L
10Dumbarton410328-63L