Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Prediction - August 22, 2026
Major League SoccerUSAFull time
Inter Miami
1:2
Toronto FC
Projected scoreOur pick
4-0
Alternative:2-1
Match Winner: Home1.40Lost
What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs Toronto FC?
The model's leading scoreline is 4 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Toronto FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Model CS-3Methodology
Match highlights
PremiumWhy this prediction
- Inter Miami average 2.6 goals per match against 1.8 for Toronto FC.
- Counter signal2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings ended level.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
Unlocked after full timePost match archive
Grade: LOST
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 2-19.5%Alternative
- 2-09.4%
- 3-17.8%
- 3-07.7%
- 1-17.7%
Top five combined: 42.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
HomeInter MiamixG2.47
AwayToronto FCxG1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.1%
7.6%
9.4%
7.7%
4.8%
2.3%
1.4%
1
3.1%
7.7%
9.5%
7.8%
4.8%
2.4%
1.5%
2
1.6%
3.9%
4.8%
4.0%
2.4%
1.2%
0.7%
3
0.5%
1.3%
1.6%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Market Probability View
Both teams to score Yes 58.2%41.8% No
Over 1.5 86.2%13.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.5%32.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 45.9%54.1% Under 3.5
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Inter Miami win and over 2.5 goals52.2%
Inter Miami win and both teams score35.9%
Toronto FC win and over 2.5 goals8.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.8%
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Inter Miami or draw86.4%
Toronto FC or draw30.8%
Either team wins82.8%
Draw no bet: Inter Miami83.6%
Draw no bet: Toronto FC16.4%
Inter Miami win to nil33.3%
Toronto FC win to nil5.4%
Team goals
Inter Miami to score91.5%
Toronto FC to score63.6%
Inter Miami over 1.5 goals70.6%
Toronto FC over 1.5 goals26.9%
Inter Miami clean sheet36.4%
Toronto FC clean sheet8.5%
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
See the ticket
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Toronto FC | 2 - 4 | Inter Miami |
| September 27, 2025 | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | Inter Miami |
| April 6, 2025 | Inter Miami | 1 - 1 | Toronto FC |
League Table
League Table
Major League SoccerUSA · 2026/2027
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | +30 | 43 | ||
| 1 | 22 | +30 | 52 | ||
| 2 | 22 | +4 | 39 | ||
| 2 | 22 | +15 | 42 | ||
| 3 | 21 | +11 | 37 | ||
| 3 | 23 | +14 | 36 | ||
| 4 | 22 | +6 | 34 | ||
| 4 | 22 | +9 | 37 | ||
| 5 | 22 | +4 | 34 | ||
| 5 | 22 | +8 | 35 | ||
| 6 | 22 | -2 | 31 | ||
| 6 | 22 | +3 | 34 | ||
| 7 | 22 | +5 | 28 | ||
| 7 | 22 | +3 | 31 | ||
| 8 | 22 | -14 | 26 | ||
| 8 | 22 | +7 | 30 | ||
| 9 | 22 | -17 | 25 | ||
| 9 | 22 | -2 | 29 | ||
| 10 | 22 | -6 | 25 | ||
| 10 | 21 | +1 | 28 | ||
| 11 | 22 | -8 | 25 | ||
| 11 | 22 | 0 | 28 | ||
| 12 | 21 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 22 | -5 | 24 | ||
| 13 | 23 | -7 | 26 | ||
| 13 | 22 | -13 | 21 | ||
| 14 | 22 | -16 | 21 | ||
| 14 | 22 | -13 | 24 | ||
| 15 | 22 | -34 | 15 | ||
| 15 | 22 | -8 | 20 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 43 | DDLWL |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 17 | 30 | 52 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 42 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 37 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 36 | DWWWW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 | LDLWL |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 37 | DWDLW |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 34 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 35 | LWDWW |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 31 | WLWWD |
| 6 | St. Louis City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 7 | New York City FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 | DWWLD |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 31 | WLWLL |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 | WLLWD |
| 8 | San Diego | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 30 | DWLLD |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 25 | LWWLD |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 29 | DDLDL |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 25 | DLDDL |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 28 | DLLDW |
| 11 | DC United | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 25 | DWDDD |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 28 | WWDWL |
| 12 | Seattle Sounders | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 24 | WWWLD |
| 13 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 26 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 | LLDLL |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 21 | DLLDD |
| 14 | Austin | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 15 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 20 | DWLWD |
