Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Prediction - August 22, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
Indy Eleven
2:1
Louisville City
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.38price rising, opened at 3.30
Draw3.68price rising, opened at 3.50
Away1.99price rising, opened at 1.96

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price rising, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.00price falling, opened at 4.10
Over 2.51.74price rising, opened at 1.65
Under 2.52.10price falling, opened at 2.11
Over 3.52.65price rising, opened at 2.56
Under 3.51.45price rising, opened at 1.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.62price rising, opened at 1.55
No2.21price falling, opened at 2.27
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.252.03price rising, opened at 1.95
Away -0.251.78price rising, opened at 1.69

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Louisville City?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Indy Eleven are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Indy Eleven and Louisville City average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.5%Projected
  2. 1-29.2%Alternative
  3. 0-18.2%
  4. 2-17.0%
  5. 0-26.7%

Top five combined: 41.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeIndy ElevenxG1.42
AwayLouisville CityxG2.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.2%
4.5%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
1
6.5%
9.2%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.6%
9.3%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
4.4%
6.3%
4.4%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
2.2%
3.2%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.7%34.3% No
Over 1.5 85.8%14.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 66.8%33.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 45.0%55.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Indy Eleven win and over 2.5 goals19.1%
Indy Eleven win and both teams score16.9%
Louisville City win and over 2.5 goals38.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Indy Eleven or draw48.4%
Louisville City or draw73.1%
Either team wins78.5%
Draw no bet: Indy Eleven34.2%
Draw no bet: Louisville City65.8%
Indy Eleven win to nil10.0%
Louisville City win to nil21.0%
Team goals
Indy Eleven to score75.8%
Louisville City to score86.8%
Indy Eleven over 1.5 goals41.4%
Louisville City over 1.5 goals60.0%
Indy Eleven clean sheet13.2%
Louisville City clean sheet24.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Indy Eleven vs Louisville City
Head to Head

Head to Head

Indy Eleven vs Louisville City: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
October 4, 2025Louisville City2 - 0Indy Eleven
August 30, 2025Indy Eleven1 - 3Louisville City
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12312473929+1040
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22011452920+937
3229853331+235
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42110562619+735
5188282020026
5229852826+235
6218852819+932
6195772431-722
7229493332+131
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
8229493126+531
9174851216-420
9228592832-429
10173952129-818
10227873130+129
11173861821-317
11236982831-327
122345142441-1717
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive23124739291040LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United2011452920937WWWWD
3Orange County SC229853331235WWDDW
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4FC Tulsa2110562619735WDWLW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5San Antonio229852826235WWLDW
6Sacramento Republic218852819932WWDWL
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7Colorado Springs229493332131LWWWL
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Lexington229493126531WDWLW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Las Vegas Lights228592832-429DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
10Phoenix Rising227873130129DDWLL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots236982831-327LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2345142441-1717LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD