Grêmio Prudente vs Marília Prediction - August 22, 2026

Copa PaulistaBrazilFull time
Grêmio Prudente
1:0
Marília
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.30price rising, opened at 2.00
Draw3.40price rising, opened at 3.10
Away2.93price falling, opened at 3.58

Market move since Aug 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals
Over 1.51.45price rising, opened at 1.40
Under 1.52.63price rising, opened at 2.56
Over 2.52.40price rising, opened at 2.31
Under 2.51.53
Over 3.54.70price rising, opened at 4.33
Under 3.51.17price rising, opened at 1.14
Both teams to score
Yes2.11price rising, opened at 1.99
No1.68price falling, opened at 1.71
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.252.01price rising, opened at 1.71
Away +0.251.80price falling, opened at 1.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Grêmio Prudente vs Marília?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Grêmio Prudente are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Grêmio Prudente and Marília average 1.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.8%Projected
  2. 1-08.9%Alternative
  3. 2-18.8%
  4. 0-17.9%
  5. 1-27.8%

Top five combined: 45.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGrêmio PrudentexG1.50
AwayMaríliaxG1.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.0%
8.9%
6.7%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
7.9%
12%
8.8%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
5.2%
7.8%
5.8%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.3%
3.4%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.9%43.1% No
Over 1.5 77.2%22.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.5%46.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.2%68.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Grêmio Prudente win and over 2.5 goals25.8%
Grêmio Prudente win and both teams score20.7%
Marília win and over 2.5 goals20.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Grêmio Prudente or draw66.5%
Marília or draw58.6%
Either team wins74.9%
Draw no bet: Grêmio Prudente55.3%
Draw no bet: Marília44.7%
Grêmio Prudente win to nil20.7%
Marília win to nil16.4%
Team goals
Grêmio Prudente to score77.6%
Marília to score73.3%
Grêmio Prudente over 1.5 goals44.1%
Marília over 1.5 goals38.0%
Grêmio Prudente clean sheet26.7%
Marília clean sheet22.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Grêmio Prudente vs Marília