Fakel vs FC Orenburg Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

5-4

Alternative:5-5

Goals: Over 2.52.22Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.53

Draw3.22

Away2.89

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.33

Under 1.52.95

Over 2.52.15

Under 2.51.70

Over 3.53.78

Under 3.51.21

Both teams to score

Yes1.84

No1.88

Odd/Even

Odd1.88

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +01.78

Away +02.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Fakel vs FC Orenburg?

The model's leading scoreline is 5 - 4, with 5-5 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Orenburg are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 20, 2026, 00:06 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

0-026.8%
0-118.7%
1-016.6%
1-111.6%
0-26.5%

Top five combined: 80.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFakelxG0.62

AwayFC OrenburgxG0.70

27%

17%

5.1%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

19%

12%

3.6%

0.7%

0.1%

0.0%

6.5%

4.0%

1.2%

0.3%

0.0%

1.5%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 23.1%76.9% No

Over 1.5 37.8%62.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 14.6%85.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 4.5%95.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Correlated combos

Fakel win and over 2.5 goals6.0%

Fakel win and both teams score4.7%

FC Orenburg win and over 2.5 goals7.4%

Draw and under 2.5 goals38.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Fakel or draw67.4%

FC Orenburg or draw72.4%

Either team wins60.3%

Draw no bet: Fakel45.8%

Draw no bet: FC Orenburg54.2%

Fakel win to nil22.9%

FC Orenburg win to nil27.1%

Team goals

Fakel to score46.0%

FC Orenburg to score50.3%

Fakel over 1.5 goals12.7%

FC Orenburg over 1.5 goals15.5%

Fakel clean sheet49.7%

FC Orenburg clean sheet54.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Fakel vs FC Orenburg

Head to Head

Fakel vs FC Orenburg: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
March 15, 2025	FC Orenburg	1 - 0	Fakel

League Table

Premier LeagueRussia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	6	6	0	0	11	4	+7	18
1	Zenit Saint Petersburg	2	2	0	0	8	0	+8	6
2	Spartak Moscow	5	4	0	1	10	4	+6	12
3	Zenit	6	4	0	2	13	4	+9	12
4	CSKA Moscow	6	3	3	0	9	6	+3	12
4	Dinamo Makhachkala	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6
5	Makhachkala	5	3	0	2	9	7	+2	9
6	Baltika	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
7	Dinamo Moscow	5	2	1	2	7	7	0	7
8	Akhmat	6	1	3	2	9	8	+1	6
9	Rubin	5	1	3	1	6	7	-1	6
10	Krylia Sovetov	6	1	3	2	8	10	-2	6
10	Krylya Sovetov	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2
11	FC Orenburg	5	1	3	1	4	6	-2	6
11	Lokomotiv Moscow	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
12	FC Rostov	6	1	2	3	7	10	-3	5
12	Akhmat Grozny	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
13	Dynamo	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
13	Rodina Moskva	5	1	1	3	8	14	-6	4
14	Lokomotiv	5	0	3	2	5	7	-2	3
14	Fakel Voronezh	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
15	Akron	6	0	3	3	6	15	-9	3
16	Fakel	6	0	2	4	3	7	-4	2

Relegation

Premier League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	FC Krasnodar	6	6	0	0	11	4	7	18	WW
1	Zenit Saint Petersburg	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	6
2	Spartak Moscow	5	4	0	1	10	4	6	12	WW
3	Zenit	6	4	0	2	13	4	9	12	WW
4	CSKA Moscow	6	3	3	0	9	6	3	12	DW
4	Dinamo Makhachkala	2	2	0	0	4	2	2	6	WW
5	Makhachkala	5	3	0	2	9	7	2	9
6	Baltika	5	2	1	2	7	6	1	7	WL
7	Dinamo Moscow	5	2	1	2	7	7	0	7
8	Akhmat	6	1	3	2	9	8	1	6	LD
9	Rubin	5	1	3	1	6	7	-1	6	WL
10	Krylia Sovetov	6	1	3	2	8	10	-2	6	DD
10	Krylya Sovetov	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2
11	FC Orenburg	5	1	3	1	4	6	-2	6	LW
11	Lokomotiv Moscow	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
12	FC Rostov	6	1	2	3	7	10	-3	5	WL
12	Akhmat Grozny	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
13	Dynamo	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1	LD
13	Rodina Moskva	5	1	1	3	8	14	-6	4	LL
14	Lokomotiv	5	0	3	2	5	7	-2	3	LD
14	Fakel Voronezh	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
15	Akron	6	0	3	3	6	15	-9	3	LL
16	Fakel	6	0	2	4	3	7	-4	2	LL

Fakel vs FC Orenburg Prediction - August 22, 2026

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What is the prediction for Fakel vs FC Orenburg?

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Scoreline Depth

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table