Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction - August 22, 2026

Primeira LigaPortugalFull time
Estoril
0:2
Rio Ave
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.38Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.97price rising, opened at 1.94
Draw3.42price falling, opened at 3.60
Away3.92price rising, opened at 3.82

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals
Over 1.51.30price rising, opened at 1.21
Under 1.53.48price falling, opened at 3.62
Over 2.52.02price rising, opened at 1.84
Under 2.51.79price falling, opened at 1.96
Over 3.53.34price rising, opened at 2.94
Under 3.51.32price rising, opened at 1.31
Both teams to score
Yes1.78price rising, opened at 1.68
No2.04price falling, opened at 2.06
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.72price rising, opened at 1.69
Away +0.252.13price falling, opened at 2.17

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Estoril vs Rio Ave?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Rio Ave are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Estoril and Rio Ave average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.6%Projected
  2. 1-010.7%Alternative
  3. 2-19.9%
  4. 2-08.4%
  5. 0-16.9%

Top five combined: 48.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeEstorilxG1.39
AwayRio AvexG1.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.8%
11%
7.5%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
1
9.0%
13%
8.8%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.3%
7.3%
5.1%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
2.0%
2.8%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.6%48.4% No
Over 1.5 72.3%27.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.0%53.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.4%74.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Estoril win and over 2.5 goals23.8%
Estoril win and both teams score18.7%
Rio Ave win and over 2.5 goals17.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Estoril or draw68.6%
Rio Ave or draw57.8%
Either team wins73.5%
Draw no bet: Estoril57.3%
Draw no bet: Rio Ave42.7%
Estoril win to nil23.5%
Rio Ave win to nil17.1%
Team goals
Estoril to score75.1%
Rio Ave to score68.7%
Estoril over 1.5 goals40.5%
Rio Ave over 1.5 goals32.4%
Estoril clean sheet31.3%
Rio Ave clean sheet24.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Rio Ave: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Estoril vs Rio Ave
Head to Head

Head to Head

Estoril vs Rio Ave: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 22, 2026Estoril1 - 2Rio Ave
November 1, 2025Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
League Table

League Table

Primeira LigaPortugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
24310125+710
3430173+49
4422053+28
5421165+17
6220030+36
7211092+74
800000000
8311143+14
9310234-13
10410327-53
1120204402
12402248-42
13402248-42
1410102201
15301224-21
16301215-41
17201126-41
183003010-100
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Primeira Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
2Sporting CP4310125710
3Arouca43017349
4Santa Clara42205328
5Maritimo42116517
6GIL Vicente22003036
7Benfica21109274
8FC Porto00000000
8Nacional31114314
9Guimaraes310234-13
10Rio Ave410327-53
11Estrela20204402
12Academico Viseu402248-42
13Alverca402248-42
14SC Braga10102201
15Famalicao301224-21
16Estoril301215-41
17Moreirense201126-41
18Casa Pia3003010-100