Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo Prediction - August 22, 2026

Segunda DivisiónUruguayFull time
Cerrito
3:0
Uruguay Montevideo
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.18price falling, opened at 2.21
Draw3.12price falling, opened at 3.15
Away3.43price rising, opened at 3.02

Market move since Aug 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.50price rising, opened at 1.31
Under 1.52.50price falling, opened at 2.92
Over 2.52.48price rising, opened at 2.06
Under 2.51.50price falling, opened at 1.67
Over 3.54.23price rising, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.20price falling, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes2.27price rising, opened at 1.81
No1.59price falling, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.85price falling, opened at 1.89
Away +0.251.95price rising, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Uruguay Montevideo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Cerrito and Uruguay Montevideo average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.9%Projected
  2. 0-014.1%Alternative
  3. 1-113.4%
  4. 0-112.7%
  5. 2-07.9%

Top five combined: 63.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCerritoxG1.06
AwayUruguay MontevideoxG0.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
14%
15%
7.9%
2.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
13%
13%
7.1%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
2
5.7%
6.0%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
1.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 38.8%61.2% No
Over 1.5 58.3%41.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 31.2%68.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 13.6%86.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Cerrito win and over 2.5 goals15.8%
Cerrito win and both teams score12.1%
Uruguay Montevideo win and over 2.5 goals11.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals27.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Cerrito or draw69.8%
Uruguay Montevideo or draw61.3%
Either team wins68.9%
Draw no bet: Cerrito56.2%
Draw no bet: Uruguay Montevideo43.8%
Cerrito win to nil26.6%
Uruguay Montevideo win to nil20.6%
Team goals
Cerrito to score65.4%
Uruguay Montevideo to score59.3%
Cerrito over 1.5 goals28.6%
Uruguay Montevideo over 1.5 goals22.7%
Cerrito clean sheet40.7%
Uruguay Montevideo clean sheet34.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo
Head to Head

Head to Head

Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 16, 2026Uruguay Montevideo2 - 2Cerrito
April 6, 2026Cerrito2 - 1Uruguay Montevideo
October 5, 2025Cerrito2 - 1Uruguay Montevideo
July 12, 2025Uruguay Montevideo0 - 0Cerrito
League Table

League Table

Segunda DivisiónUruguay · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1641185+313
2633092+712
36321137+611
4624096+310
5623185+39
6623175+29
7623165+19
7623165+19
862318809
9614156-17
10612337-45
11611447-34
126114511-64
136114613-74
14603359-43
Segunda División - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Oriental641185313LWWWD
2Plaza Colonia633092712WDDWW
3Fenix6321137611WLWWD
4Sportivo Huracan624096310DWWDD
5Colón62318539DWDLD
6Uruguay Montevideo62317529DWLWD
7Rentistas62316519DLWWD
7Rentistas Montevideo62316519
8Cerrito62318809DDLWD
9La Luz614156-17DLWDD
10Miramar612337-45DDLWL
11Paysandu611447-34LDLLW
12Atenas6114511-64LWLLL
13CA River Plate6114613-74WLLLD
14Tacuarembo603359-43DLLLD