Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction - August 22, 2026

National LeagueEnglandFull time
Carlisle
4:1
AFC Hornchurch
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.55price rising, opened at 1.53
Draw4.49price rising, opened at 4.10
Away4.92price falling, opened at 4.96

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price rising, opened at 1.15
Under 1.54.33price rising, opened at 4.25
Over 2.51.63price rising, opened at 1.61
Under 2.52.20price rising, opened at 2.17
Over 3.52.65price rising, opened at 2.46
Under 3.51.45price rising, opened at 1.43
Both teams to score
Yes1.80price rising, opened at 1.66
No1.95price falling, opened at 2.07
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -11.88price falling, opened at 1.89
Away +11.93price rising, opened at 1.78

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Carlisle and AFC Hornchurch average 4.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.7%Projected
  2. 2-18.7%Alternative
  3. 1-08.2%
  4. 2-07.7%
  5. 3-05.5%

Top five combined: 38.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCarlislexG1.88
AwayAFC HornchurchxG1.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.4%
8.3%
7.8%
4.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.4%
1
5.5%
10%
9.7%
6.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.5%
2
3.4%
6.4%
6.0%
3.8%
1.8%
0.7%
0.3%
3
1.4%
2.6%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.3%39.7% No
Over 1.5 81.9%18.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.4%39.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 38.1%61.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Carlisle win and over 2.5 goals36.3%
Carlisle win and both teams score27.9%
AFC Hornchurch win and over 2.5 goals16.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Carlisle or draw74.8%
AFC Hornchurch or draw47.7%
Either team wins77.5%
Draw no bet: Carlisle67.5%
Draw no bet: AFC Hornchurch32.5%
Carlisle win to nil24.5%
AFC Hornchurch win to nil10.8%
Team goals
Carlisle to score84.8%
AFC Hornchurch to score71.2%
Carlisle over 1.5 goals56.1%
AFC Hornchurch over 1.5 goals35.3%
Carlisle clean sheet28.8%
AFC Hornchurch clean sheet15.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch
League Table

League Table

National LeagueEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410147+713
2540173+412
35401107+312
45320105+511
55311139+410
65311117+410
7531196+310
8531175+210
95221128+48
10522164+28
1152216608
1252039906
1352036606
1452034406
1400000000
155203910-16
16520357-26
175203610-46
18512267-15
195113810-24
2051131014-44
21511349-54
22510448-43
23502359-42
245005516-110
Relegation
National League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Boreham Wood5410147713
2Sutton United540173412
3AFC Hornchurch5401107312
4Yeovil Town5320105511
5Harrogate Town5311139410
6AFC Fylde5311117410
7Southend531196310
8Eastleigh531175210
9Carlisle522112848
10Aldershot Town52216428
11Kidderminster Harriers52216608
12FC Halifax Town52039906
13Boston United52036606
14Hartlepool52034406
14Sutton Utd00000000
15Worthing5203910-16
16Altrincham520357-26
17Forest Green5203610-46
18Wealdstone512267-15
19Scunthorpe5113810-24
20Tamworth51131014-44
21Woking511349-54
22Gateshead510448-43
23Barrow502359-42
24Solihull Moors5005516-110