Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction - August 22, 2026

Premier LeagueMaltaFull time
Birkirkara
1:0
Hamrun Spartans
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:0-0

Asian Handicap: Away -0.256.29Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.08price rising, opened at 1.47
Draw3.18price falling, opened at 4.04
Away2.26price falling, opened at 6.48

Market move since Aug 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.43price rising, opened at 1.27
Under 1.52.63price falling, opened at 3.40
Over 2.52.33price rising, opened at 1.91
Under 2.51.53price falling, opened at 1.83
Over 3.54.04price rising, opened at 3.02
Under 3.51.20price falling, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes2.18price falling, opened at 2.25
No1.60price rising, opened at 1.57
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.87
Handicap
Home +0.251.82
Away -0.251.92

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Birkirkara are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Hamrun Spartans won 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.
  • Counter signalBirkirkara won 2 of their last 5 matches; Hamrun Spartans won 0 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-126.4%Projected
  2. 0-224.1%
  3. 0-314.7%
  4. 0-014.5%Alternative
  5. 0-46.7%

Top five combined: 86.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBirkirkaraxG0.11
AwayHamrun SpartansxG1.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
14%
1.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
1
26%
2.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2
24%
2.6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3
15%
1.6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
6.7%
0.7%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
2.4%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
1.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 8.5%91.5% No
Over 1.5 57.5%42.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 30.5%69.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 13.1%86.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Birkirkara win and over 2.5 goals0.2%
Birkirkara win and both teams score0.2%
Hamrun Spartans win and over 2.5 goals30.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Birkirkara or draw19.2%
Hamrun Spartans or draw98.2%
Either team wins82.6%
Draw no bet: Birkirkara2.2%
Draw no bet: Hamrun Spartans97.8%
Birkirkara win to nil1.6%
Hamrun Spartans win to nil75.4%
Team goals
Birkirkara to score10.1%
Hamrun Spartans to score83.9%
Birkirkara over 1.5 goals0.5%
Hamrun Spartans over 1.5 goals54.5%
Birkirkara clean sheet16.1%
Hamrun Spartans clean sheet89.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans
Head to Head

Head to Head

Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 8, 2026Hamrun Spartans3 - 0Birkirkara
December 21, 2025Hamrun Spartans6 - 1Birkirkara
November 1, 2025Birkirkara0 - 2Hamrun Spartans
May 10, 2025Hamrun Spartans1 - 0Birkirkara
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueMalta · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330051+49
2321061+57
3321042+27
4320184+46
5320151+46
6311132+14
7311145-14
831114404
9310225-33
10301214-31
11300316-50
12300319-80
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Mosta33005149
2Floriana32106157
3Marsaxlokk32104227
4Valletta FC32018446
5Birkirkara32015146
6Hibernians31113214
7Zabbar St. Patrick311145-14
8Balzan FC31114404
9Sliema Wanderers310225-33
10Hamrun Spartans301214-31
11Birzebbuga300316-50
12Gzira United300319-80