Vitesse vs Almere City FC Prediction - August 21, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
Vitesse
0:3
Almere City FC
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.09price falling, opened at 2.59
Draw3.65price rising, opened at 3.54
Away3.11price rising, opened at 2.44

Market move since Aug 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.09price falling, opened at 1.14
Under 1.55.35price rising, opened at 4.45
Over 2.51.42price falling, opened at 1.60
Under 2.52.49price rising, opened at 2.27
Over 3.52.16price falling, opened at 2.41
Under 3.51.66price rising, opened at 1.45
Both teams to score
Yes1.40price falling, opened at 1.49
No2.73price rising, opened at 2.44
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.82
Away +0.251.91

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Vitesse vs Almere City FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Vitesse and Almere City both won 3-1 in their most recent matches, and that shared four-goal habit sits behind Superior's Goals: Over 1.5 pick at 1.20 for their meeting on 21 August. It is priced with 73 percent confidence, built on a total that has cleared this line in four of Almere's last five matches.

Two 3-1 wins to open the month

Vitesse's 3-1 win at Jong Utrecht and Almere's 3-1 win over Jong PSV both landed inside the last week, and both cleared this exact total by two goals. The two meetings between these sides carry the same signature: a 1-3 Almere win in March and a 2-2 draw the previous October, four combined goals in both. Almere have been over this line in four of their last five Eerste Divisie matches, missing only a 1-1 draw at Den Bosch, and their heaviest result, a 0-4 defeat at Emmen, still cleared it by two and a half goals in the wrong direction.

A single-goal home win sits in Vitesse's own last five

Over 1.5 only fails on a 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1 scoreline, and Vitesse's own recent matches include exactly that shape: a narrow 1-0 win over Borussia Dortmund II last month. Almere's five-game run has stayed clear of it, but that tight, single-goal shape, from either side, not the pair of 3-1s this week, is what actually beats this line.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-19.2%Projected
  2. 1-29.0%Alternative
  3. 2-18.6%
  4. 2-28.0%
  5. 0-15.7%

Top five combined: 40.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVitessexG1.05
AwayAlmere City FCxG1.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.5%
7.8%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
12%
12%
6.4%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.9%
9.4%
4.9%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
4.6%
4.8%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.8%
1.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.5%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.1%48.9% No
Over 1.5 73.2%26.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.0%52.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.3%73.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Vitesse win and over 2.5 goals13.8%
Vitesse win and both teams score11.9%
Almere City FC win and over 2.5 goals28.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Vitesse or draw51.2%
Almere City FC or draw74.3%
Either team wins74.5%
Draw no bet: Vitesse34.5%
Draw no bet: Almere City FC65.5%
Vitesse win to nil13.8%
Almere City FC win to nil27.6%
Team goals
Vitesse to score65.0%
Almere City FC to score78.7%
Vitesse over 1.5 goals28.2%
Almere City FC over 1.5 goals45.7%
Vitesse clean sheet21.3%
Almere City FC clean sheet35.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Vitesse: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Vitesse vs Almere City FC
Head to Head

Head to Head

Vitesse vs Almere City FC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 13, 2026Vitesse1 - 3Almere City FC
October 10, 2025Almere City FC2 - 2Vitesse
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400167+912
2440084+412
34310113+810
44301115+69
54301109+19
652218808
7421186+27
8421154+17
942117707
104202115+66
1152039906
1240406604
134112910-14
144112510-54
1551131114-34
16410337-43
174103611-53
18402257-22
194013512-71
205005515-100
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles4400167912
2MVV Maastricht440084412
3Almere City FC4310113810
4VVV Venlo430111569
5Emmen430110919
6Jong PSV52218808
7Vitesse42118627
8Roda42115417
9NAC Breda42117707
10FC Volendam420211566
11Jong AZ52039906
12Waalwijk40406604
13Den Bosch4112910-14
14Dordrecht4112510-54
15Jong Ajax51131114-34
16FC OSS410337-43
17FC Eindhoven4103611-53
18Helmond Sport402257-22
19De Graafschap4013512-71
20Jong Utrecht5005515-100