Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town Prediction

Projected score

1-1

Alternative:1-2

Bookmaker odds

Home9.45

Draw5.50

Away1.23

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.11

Under 1.54.90

Over 2.51.44

Under 2.52.43

Over 3.52.17

Under 3.51.61

Both teams to score

Yes1.84

No1.85

Odd/Even

Odd1.83

Even1.83

Handicap

Home +1.751.77

Away -1.751.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Caernarfon Town are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 18, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

The model rates both sides closely, which is what puts the draw in play.
Counter signalCaernarfon Town average 3.0 goals per match against 0.6 for Trefelin.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

Compare all books

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-19.1%Projected
1-28.4%Alternative
2-17.6%
2-27.1%
0-15.4%

Top five combined: 37.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTrefelinxG1.68

AwayCaernarfon TownxG1.85

2.9%

4.9%

4.1%

2.3%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

5.4%

9.1%

7.6%

4.3%

1.8%

0.6%

0.2%

5.0%

8.4%

7.1%

4.0%

1.7%

0.6%

0.2%

3.1%

5.2%

4.4%

2.5%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

1.4%

2.4%

2.0%

1.1%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.5%

0.9%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 68.7%31.3% No

Over 1.5 86.8%13.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 68.6%31.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 47.1%52.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Trefelin win and over 2.5 goals26.5%

Trefelin win and both teams score22.7%

Caernarfon Town win and over 2.5 goals32.0%

Draw and under 2.5 goals12.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Trefelin or draw57.6%

Caernarfon Town or draw64.5%

Either team wins77.9%

Draw no bet: Trefelin45.6%

Draw no bet: Caernarfon Town54.4%

Trefelin win to nil12.8%

Caernarfon Town win to nil15.7%

Team goals

Trefelin to score81.4%

Caernarfon Town to score84.3%

Trefelin over 1.5 goals50.2%

Caernarfon Town over 1.5 goals55.3%

Trefelin clean sheet15.7%

Caernarfon Town clean sheet18.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town

League Table

Premier LeagueWales · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barry Town	6	6	0	0	17	7	+10	18
2	The New Saints	6	5	1	0	16	3	+13	16
3	GAP Connah S Quay FC	6	5	0	1	17	4	+13	15
4	Cardiff MET	6	4	0	2	16	7	+9	12
5	Caernarfon Town	6	4	0	2	15	9	+6	12
6	Llandudno	6	4	0	2	13	7	+6	12
7	Penybont	6	3	3	0	10	5	+5	12
8	Colwyn Bay	6	3	1	2	8	10	-2	10
9	Airbus UK	6	3	0	3	11	9	+2	9
10	Cambrian & Clydach	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8
11	Briton Ferry	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5	7
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	6	1	0	5	2	12	-10	3
13	Ammanford AFC	6	0	2	4	4	14	-10	2
14	Flint Town United	6	0	1	5	6	11	-5	1
15	Trefelin	6	0	1	5	2	17	-15	1
16	Holywell	6	0	0	6	9	26	-17	0

Europa LeagueRelegation

Premier League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Barry Town	6	6	0	0	17	7	10	18	W
2	The New Saints	6	5	1	0	16	3	13	16	D
3	GAP Connah S Quay FC	6	5	0	1	17	4	13	15	L
4	Cardiff MET	6	4	0	2	16	7	9	12	W
5	Caernarfon Town	6	4	0	2	15	9	6	12	W
6	Llandudno	6	4	0	2	13	7	6	12	W
7	Penybont	6	3	3	0	10	5	5	12	D
8	Colwyn Bay	6	3	1	2	8	10	-2	10	W
9	Airbus UK	6	3	0	3	11	9	2	9	W
10	Cambrian & Clydach	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8	L
11	Briton Ferry	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5	7	W
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	6	1	0	5	2	12	-10	3	L
13	Ammanford AFC	6	0	2	4	4	14	-10	2	L
14	Flint Town United	6	0	1	5	6	11	-5	1	L
15	Trefelin	6	0	1	5	2	17	-15	1	L
16	Holywell	6	0	0	6	9	26	-17	0	L

Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town Prediction - August 21, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

More Premier League Predictions

League Table