Tondela vs Academica Prediction - August 21, 2026

Liga Portugal 2PortugalFull time
Tondela
0:2
Academica
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.87
Draw3.38price falling, opened at 3.44
Away4.14price rising, opened at 4.04

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.32price rising, opened at 1.31
Under 1.52.88price falling, opened at 2.92
Over 2.52.12price rising, opened at 2.11
Under 2.51.68price falling, opened at 1.69
Over 3.53.80price rising, opened at 3.74
Under 3.51.19
Both teams to score
Yes1.92price rising, opened at 1.90
No1.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -0.752.07price falling, opened at 2.09
Away +0.751.63price rising, opened at 1.62

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Tondela vs Academica?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Academica are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Tondela and Academica average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.0%Projected
  2. 0-18.9%Alternative
  3. 1-08.5%
  4. 1-28.5%
  5. 2-18.1%

Top five combined: 46.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTondelaxG1.35
AwayAcademicaxG1.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.3%
8.5%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
1
8.9%
12%
8.1%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.3%
8.5%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
3
3.0%
4.0%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.1%43.9% No
Over 1.5 76.3%23.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.3%47.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.1%69.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Tondela win and over 2.5 goals21.7%
Tondela win and both teams score17.9%
Academica win and over 2.5 goals23.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Tondela or draw61.4%
Academica or draw64.0%
Either team wins74.6%
Draw no bet: Tondela48.2%
Draw no bet: Academica51.8%
Tondela win to nil18.1%
Academica win to nil19.5%
Team goals
Tondela to score74.2%
Academica to score75.6%
Tondela over 1.5 goals39.2%
Academica over 1.5 goals41.2%
Tondela clean sheet24.4%
Academica clean sheet25.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Academica: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Tondela vs Academica
Head to Head

Head to Head

Tondela vs Academica: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 22, 2026Tondela2 - 1Academica
League Table

League Table

Liga Portugal 2Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431072+510
2430173+49
3321063+37
4421142+27
5321042+27
6421143+17
7420275+26
842025506
932012206
10311143+14
1130302203
12310225-33
13410326-43
14302134-12
15402259-42
16301213-21
17301202-21
18301237-41
Liga Portugal 2 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lusitânia Lourosa431072510
2Academica43017349
3Farense32106337
4Vizela42114227
5Benfica B32104227
6Portimonense42114317
7União de Leiria42027526
8Leixoes42025506
9Sporting CP B32012206
10Penafiel31114314
11Felgueiras 193230302203
12FC Porto B310225-33
13Tondela410326-43
14AVS302134-12
15Torreense402259-42
16Amarante301213-21
17Feirense301202-21
18Chaves301237-41