Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians Prediction - August 21, 2026

Premier LeagueMaltaFull time
Marsaxlokk
1:0
Hibernians
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.31Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.22price rising, opened at 2.20
Draw3.22price falling, opened at 3.24
Away2.94price falling, opened at 2.96

Market move since Aug 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.28price rising, opened at 1.27
Under 1.53.08price falling, opened at 3.14
Over 2.51.94price rising, opened at 1.91
Under 2.51.75price falling, opened at 1.78
Over 3.53.28price rising, opened at 3.20
Under 3.51.25price falling, opened at 1.26
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price rising, opened at 1.72
No1.94price falling, opened at 1.96
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.89
Away +0.251.77price falling, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Marsaxlokk and Hibernians average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.3%Projected
  2. 0-111.1%Alternative
  3. 1-29.2%
  4. 0-28.3%
  5. 1-08.2%

Top five combined: 49.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMarsaxlokkxG1.11
AwayHiberniansxG1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.4%
8.2%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
11%
12%
6.8%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
2
8.3%
9.2%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
4.1%
4.6%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.5%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.9%48.1% No
Over 1.5 73.3%26.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.2%51.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.4%73.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Marsaxlokk win and over 2.5 goals15.4%
Marsaxlokk win and both teams score13.1%
Hibernians win and over 2.5 goals26.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Marsaxlokk or draw54.0%
Hibernians or draw71.8%
Either team wins74.2%
Draw no bet: Marsaxlokk38.0%
Draw no bet: Hibernians62.0%
Marsaxlokk win to nil15.1%
Hibernians win to nil25.6%
Team goals
Marsaxlokk to score67.0%
Hibernians to score77.5%
Marsaxlokk over 1.5 goals30.4%
Hibernians over 1.5 goals43.9%
Marsaxlokk clean sheet22.5%
Hibernians clean sheet33.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians
Head to Head

Head to Head

Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 15, 2026Marsaxlokk2 - 1Hibernians
November 1, 2025Hibernians2 - 2Marsaxlokk
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueMalta · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330051+49
2321061+57
3321042+27
4320184+46
5320151+46
6311132+14
7311145-14
831114404
9310225-33
10301214-31
11300316-50
12300319-80
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Mosta33005149
2Floriana32106157
3Marsaxlokk32104227
4Valletta FC32018446
5Birkirkara32015146
6Hibernians31113214
7Zabbar St. Patrick311145-14
8Balzan FC31114404
9Sliema Wanderers310225-33
10Hamrun Spartans301214-31
11Birzebbuga300316-50
12Gzira United300319-80