FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa Prediction - August 21, 2026

VirsligaLatviaFull time
FK Liepaja
3:1
Grobiņa
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.43price falling, opened at 1.59
Draw4.15price rising, opened at 4.00
Away6.19price rising, opened at 4.55

Market move since Aug 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price rising, opened at 1.14
Under 1.53.70price falling, opened at 5.00
Over 2.51.73price rising, opened at 1.53
Under 2.51.97price falling, opened at 2.38
Over 3.52.78price rising, opened at 2.38
Under 3.51.34price falling, opened at 1.53
Both teams to score
Yes1.85price rising, opened at 1.57
No1.82price falling, opened at 2.28
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -11.75
Away +11.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FK Liepaja are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • FK Liepaja and Grobiņa average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.5%Projected
  2. 2-18.5%Alternative
  3. 1-07.6%
  4. 2-07.6%
  5. 3-16.0%

Top five combined: 38.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFK LiepajaxG1.79
AwayGrobiņaxG0.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.7%
16%
14%
8.3%
3.7%
1.3%
0.5%
1
5.7%
10%
9.1%
5.4%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
2
1.8%
3.3%
2.9%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
3
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 39.7%60.3% No
Over 1.5 70.0%30.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 44.0%56.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.9%77.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FK Liepaja win and over 2.5 goals35.2%
FK Liepaja win and both teams score21.3%
Grobiņa win and over 2.5 goals5.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
FK Liepaja or draw87.1%
Grobiņa or draw35.1%
Either team wins77.8%
Draw no bet: FK Liepaja83.4%
Draw no bet: Grobiņa16.6%
FK Liepaja win to nil43.6%
Grobiņa win to nil8.0%
Team goals
FK Liepaja to score83.3%
Grobiņa to score47.7%
FK Liepaja over 1.5 goals53.4%
Grobiņa over 1.5 goals13.8%
FK Liepaja clean sheet52.3%
Grobiņa clean sheet16.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa
Head to Head

Head to Head

FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 16, 2026Grobiņa1 - 0FK Liepaja
April 28, 2026FK Liepaja1 - 1Grobiņa
September 21, 2025Grobiņa0 - 1FK Liepaja
June 30, 2025FK Liepaja2 - 0Grobiņa
League Table

League Table

VirsligaLatvia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12621326520+4566
22620517924+5565
32716564427+1753
428107113332+137
527114123639-337
62887133247-1531
72685132738-1129
82859142050-3024
92848164158-1720
102635182668-4214
Virsliga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Rīgas FS26213265204566WWDWW
2Riga26205179245565WWWWD
3Auda27165644271753WDLDW
4BFC Daugavpils28107113332137WLWWL
5FK Liepaja27114123639-337LWLWL
6FS Jelgava2887133247-1531LLLLW
7Super Nova2685132738-1129WLWLL
8Grobiņa2859142050-3024LDLWL
9Tukums2848164158-1720WLLLL
10Ogre United2635182668-4214DLWLW