Bohemians vs Derry City Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.29Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.00

Draw3.44

Away3.62

Market move since Aug 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.22

Under 1.53.54

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.92

Over 3.52.94

Under 3.51.31

Both teams to score

Yes1.68

No2.06

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.81

Handicap

Home -0.251.65

Away +0.252.01

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Derry City?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 18, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match analysis

Derry City's attack rating of 3.3 out of 10 is the softest number on this fixture list, and it sits behind Superior's Goals: Under 3.5 pick at 1.29 for their trip to Bohemians on 21 August. It is priced with 72 percent confidence, coming off two goalless European exits to HNK Rijeka last month.

Derry's attack rating sits at 3.3 out of 10

That number follows a run in which Derry failed to score in either leg of their European qualifier against HNK Rijeka, losing 0-1 both times before their campaign ended. Bohemians carry a healthier 6.7 attack and 6.5 defence rating, and while their own recent scoreline includes a 4-0 win over Longford Town, they have also been held to single goals in three of their last five matches. A combined 3.5-goal ceiling asks for restraint from at least one side, and Derry's own numbers suggest that is more likely to come from them.

June's meeting alone was worth five goals

These two sides last met in June, when Derry won 4-1, five goals in total and comfortably beyond this exact line. That result sits alongside a 3-4 shootout from September, so when this fixture does open up, it has tended to open up in a hurry rather than settling for a low-scoring finish.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

Compare all books

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-112.3%Projected
1-011.0%Alternative
2-19.3%
2-09.0%
0-07.7%

Top five combined: 49.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBohemiansxG1.48

AwayDerry CityxG1.20

6.9%

10%

7.5%

3.7%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

8.2%

12%

9.0%

4.5%

1.7%

0.5%

0.2%

4.9%

7.3%

5.4%

2.7%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

2.0%

2.9%

2.2%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.6%

0.9%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.0%46.0% No

Over 1.5 74.8%25.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 50.2%49.8% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 28.2%71.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Bohemians win and over 2.5 goals26.1%

Bohemians win and both teams score20.4%

Derry City win and over 2.5 goals17.5%

Draw and under 2.5 goals19.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Bohemians or draw69.4%

Derry City or draw56.2%

Either team wins74.4%

Draw no bet: Bohemians58.9%

Draw no bet: Derry City41.1%

Bohemians win to nil23.4%

Derry City win to nil15.8%

Team goals

Bohemians to score77.3%

Derry City to score69.8%

Bohemians over 1.5 goals43.7%

Derry City over 1.5 goals33.6%

Bohemians clean sheet30.2%

Derry City clean sheet22.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Team news

Expected formations

Bohemians: 3-5-2(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Bohemians vs Derry City

Head to Head

Bohemians vs Derry City: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
June 12, 2026	Derry City	4 - 1	Bohemians
May 1, 2026	Bohemians	1 - 1	Derry City
February 20, 2026	Derry City	0 - 1	Bohemians
September 12, 2025	Bohemians	3 - 4	Derry City
July 25, 2025	Derry City	1 - 1	Bohemians

League Table

Premier DivisionIreland · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	28	16	7	5	46	27	+19	55
2	St Patrick's Athl.	29	14	8	7	45	25	+20	50
3	Bohemians	29	14	8	7	50	34	+16	50
4	Dundalk	29	10	10	9	46	45	+1	40
5	Shelbourne	27	8	11	8	37	39	-2	35
6	Derry City	29	7	13	9	41	40	+1	34
7	Galway United	28	8	10	10	36	42	-6	34
8	Waterford	29	7	11	11	39	48	-9	32
9	Drogheda United	29	6	10	13	33	48	-15	28
10	Sligo Rovers	29	5	8	16	23	48	-25	23

Relegation

Premier Division - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Shamrock Rovers	28	16	7	5	46	27	19	55	DWWDW
2	St Patrick's Athl.	29	14	8	7	45	25	20	50	DDDWL
3	Bohemians	29	14	8	7	50	34	16	50	DWWWL
4	Dundalk	29	10	10	9	46	45	1	40	DDLLL
5	Shelbourne	27	8	11	8	37	39	-2	35	LWDLD
6	Derry City	29	7	13	9	41	40	1	34	DLWDL
7	Galway United	28	8	10	10	36	42	-6	34	DDWLL
8	Waterford	29	7	11	11	39	48	-9	32	WDDWW
9	Drogheda United	29	6	10	13	33	48	-15	28	DDWLL
10	Sligo Rovers	29	5	8	16	23	48	-25	23	DDLLD

Bohemians vs Derry City Prediction - August 21, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Derry City?

Match analysis

Derry's attack rating sits at 3.3 out of 10

June's meeting alone was worth five goals

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

More Premier Division Predictions

Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table