Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Prediction - August 21, 2026

Primera DivisionPeruFull time
Alianza Atletico
3:1
Sporting Cristal
Projected scoreOur pick
3-2

Alternative:1-1

BTTS: Yes1.73Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.82
Draw3.16price falling, opened at 3.20
Away2.45price rising, opened at 2.43

Market move since Aug 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price falling, opened at 1.25
Under 1.53.50price rising, opened at 3.28
Over 2.51.86price falling, opened at 1.93
Under 2.51.89price rising, opened at 1.83
Over 3.52.97price falling, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.30price rising, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.64price falling, opened at 1.69
No2.13price rising, opened at 2.05
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.90
Even1.78price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home +01.99price falling, opened at 2.01
Away +01.75price rising, opened at 1.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?

The model's leading scoreline is 3 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Alianza Atletico are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal average 4.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.7%Alternative
  2. 2-19.1%
  3. 1-07.6%
  4. 1-27.6%
  5. 2-06.4%

Top five combined: 41.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlianza AtleticoxG1.69
AwaySporting CristalxG1.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.5%
7.6%
6.4%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
1
6.3%
11%
9.1%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
0.3%
2
4.5%
7.6%
6.4%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
3
2.1%
3.6%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.7%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 61.7%38.3% No
Over 1.5 81.6%18.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.0%40.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 37.7%62.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Alianza Atletico win and over 2.5 goals30.3%
Alianza Atletico win and both teams score24.4%
Sporting Cristal win and over 2.5 goals21.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Alianza Atletico or draw67.9%
Sporting Cristal or draw55.7%
Either team wins76.4%
Draw no bet: Alianza Atletico57.9%
Draw no bet: Sporting Cristal42.1%
Alianza Atletico win to nil19.9%
Sporting Cristal win to nil13.9%
Team goals
Alianza Atletico to score81.6%
Sporting Cristal to score75.7%
Alianza Atletico over 1.5 goals50.5%
Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals41.3%
Alianza Atletico clean sheet24.3%
Sporting Cristal clean sheet18.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal
Head to Head

Head to Head

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 7, 2026Sporting Cristal3 - 1Alianza Atletico
September 17, 2025Sporting Cristal0 - 0Alianza Atletico
April 19, 2025Alianza Atletico1 - 0Sporting Cristal
League Table

League Table

Primera DivisionPeru · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12415724015+2552
22413653924+1545
21710432521+434
32412663121+1042
42412573437-341
52411674028+1239
62412393636039
72411493935+437
8249783429+534
9249782623+334
102485113838029
11247893233-129
122485112023-329
132476113550-1527
13174672126-518
142475123141-1026
152467112333-1025
162466123644-824
172457122736-922
182448122742-1515
Primera Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Alianza Lima24157240152552WDWDW
2Universitario24136539241545LWWWD
2Club Deportivo Los Chankas1710432521434WLWDL
3Deportivo Garcilaso24126631211042WWLWD
4Cultural Santa Rosa2412573437-341
5FBC Melgar24116740281239DWWWD
6Cusco2412393636039WLWWW
7Cienciano2411493935437WLLWD
8Alianza Atletico249783429534LWLLD
9Sport Boys249782623334WWLWD
10Sporting Cristal2485113838029WLWLW
11Comerciantes Unidos247893233-129LDDLD
12Atletico Grau2485112023-329LLWWL
13Juan Pablo II College2476113550-1527LWDLD
13UTC174672126-518
14Sport Huancayo2475123141-1026WWLLD
15UCV Moquegua2467112333-1025DDDLD
16FC Cajamarca2466123644-824LLDDD
17ADT2457122736-922LLLLL
18UTC Cajamarca2448122742-1515LDLDD