União São João vs Noroeste Prediction - August 19, 2026

Copa PaulistaBrazilFull time
União São João
1:1
Noroeste
Projected score
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Bookmaker odds

Home2.35
Draw3.13price falling, opened at 3.30
Away2.72price rising, opened at 2.70

Market move since Aug 19. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.50price rising, opened at 1.49
Under 1.52.38price falling, opened at 2.43
Over 2.52.49price rising, opened at 2.47
Under 2.51.42price falling, opened at 1.48
Over 3.55.10price rising, opened at 5.00
Under 3.51.10price falling, opened at 1.12
Both teams to score
Yes2.09price falling, opened at 2.13
No1.63price falling, opened at 1.65
Odd/Even
Odd1.78price falling, opened at 1.84
Even1.86price falling, opened at 1.96
Handicap
Home +01.72price falling, opened at 1.73
Away +01.97price falling, opened at 2.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for União São João vs Noroeste?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Noroeste are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • 1 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings ended level.
  • Counter signalNoroeste average 2.0 goals per match against 1.0 for União São João.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.9%Projected
  2. 1-010.5%Alternative
  3. 2-19.8%
  4. 2-09.5%
  5. 0-16.1%

Top five combined: 46.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUnião São JoãoxG1.80
AwayNoroestexG1.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.8%
11%
9.5%
5.7%
2.6%
0.9%
0.4%
1
6.1%
11%
9.8%
5.9%
2.7%
1.0%
0.4%
2
3.2%
5.7%
5.1%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.1%
2.0%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.9%46.1% No
Over 1.5 77.6%22.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.0%46.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.7%68.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

União São João win and over 2.5 goals35.2%
União São João win and both teams score25.7%
Noroeste win and over 2.5 goals12.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
União São João or draw78.3%
Noroeste or draw44.7%
Either team wins76.9%
Draw no bet: União São João71.8%
Draw no bet: Noroeste28.2%
União São João win to nil29.6%
Noroeste win to nil10.7%
Team goals
União São João to score83.5%
Noroeste to score64.6%
União São João over 1.5 goals53.8%
Noroeste over 1.5 goals27.8%
União São João clean sheet35.4%
Noroeste clean sheet16.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: União São João vs Noroeste
Head to Head

Head to Head

Noroeste
2 - 2
União São João
July 25, 2026
União São João
3 - 0
Noroeste
August 29, 2025
Noroeste
1 - 0
União São João
August 23, 2025
União São João vs Noroeste: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 25, 2026Noroeste2 - 2União São João
August 29, 2025União São João3 - 0Noroeste
August 23, 2025Noroeste1 - 0União São João