APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory Prediction - August 19, 2026

Australia CupAustraliaAET
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0:1
90' 0-0
Melbourne Victory
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Over 2.51.73Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.46price falling, opened at 4.13
Draw3.68price falling, opened at 3.84
Away1.95price rising, opened at 1.75

Market move since Aug 19. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16price falling, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.10price rising, opened at 3.95
Over 2.51.67price falling, opened at 1.70
Under 2.52.15price rising, opened at 2.09
Over 3.52.56price falling, opened at 2.63
Under 3.51.40price rising, opened at 1.38
Both teams to score
Yes1.57price falling, opened at 1.64
No2.25price rising, opened at 2.13
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home +0.252.01
Away -0.251.65

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: APIA Leichhardt Tigers are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Melbourne Victory average 3.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-28.9%Projected
  2. 1-37.5%
  3. 1-17.1%Alternative
  4. 0-26.5%
  5. 2-26.1%

Top five combined: 36.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAPIA Leichhardt TigersxG1.36
AwayMelbourne VictoryxG2.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.1%
2.8%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1
5.2%
7.1%
4.8%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
2
6.5%
8.9%
6.1%
2.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
5.5%
7.5%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
4
3.5%
4.7%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
5
1.7%
2.4%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 68.4%31.6% No
Over 1.5 89.9%10.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 74.4%25.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 54.2%45.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

APIA Leichhardt Tigers win and over 2.5 goals14.6%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers win and both teams score13.3%
Melbourne Victory win and over 2.5 goals50.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
APIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw37.4%
Melbourne Victory or draw80.7%
Either team wins81.9%
Draw no bet: APIA Leichhardt Tigers23.6%
Draw no bet: Melbourne Victory76.4%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers win to nil6.0%
Melbourne Victory win to nil23.5%
Team goals
APIA Leichhardt Tigers to score74.4%
Melbourne Victory to score91.9%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers over 1.5 goals39.5%
Melbourne Victory over 1.5 goals71.6%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers clean sheet8.1%
Melbourne Victory clean sheet25.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory