Boston United vs Birmingham City U21 Prediction - August 18, 2026

National League CupEnglandFull time
Boston United
2:3
Birmingham City U21
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.75Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.63price falling, opened at 1.76
Draw4.73price rising, opened at 3.84
Away4.10price rising, opened at 3.69

Market move since Aug 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price rising, opened at 1.08
Under 1.56.10price rising, opened at 5.55
Over 2.51.45price rising, opened at 1.38
Under 2.52.75price rising, opened at 2.63
Over 3.52.11price rising, opened at 2.03
Under 3.51.73price rising, opened at 1.70
Both teams to score
Yes1.47price rising, opened at 1.40
No2.49price falling, opened at 2.70
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -11.90
Away +11.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Boston United vs Birmingham City U21?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Boston United and Birmingham City U21 average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-015.7%Projected
  2. 1-112.1%Alternative
  3. 2-011.5%
  4. 0-010.7%
  5. 2-18.8%

Top five combined: 58.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBoston UnitedxG1.47
AwayBirmingham City U21xG0.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
16%
12%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.2%
12%
8.8%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
3.2%
4.6%
3.4%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
3
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 41.2%58.8% No
Over 1.5 65.4%34.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.7%61.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.8%81.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Boston United win and over 2.5 goals26.6%
Boston United win and both teams score18.1%
Birmingham City U21 win and over 2.5 goals8.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Boston United or draw80.4%
Birmingham City U21 or draw46.2%
Either team wins73.4%
Draw no bet: Boston United73.3%
Draw no bet: Birmingham City U2126.7%
Boston United win to nil35.7%
Birmingham City U21 win to nil12.4%
Team goals
Boston United to score76.9%
Birmingham City U21 to score53.6%
Boston United over 1.5 goals43.1%
Birmingham City U21 over 1.5 goals18.0%
Boston United clean sheet46.4%
Birmingham City U21 clean sheet23.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Boston United vs Birmingham City U21