Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction - August 17, 2026

MLS Next ProUSAFull time
Los Angeles FC II
4:3
Tacoma Defiance
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.37Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.94price rising, opened at 1.85
Draw4.08price rising, opened at 3.74
Away3.25price falling, opened at 3.40

Market move since Aug 17. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price rising, opened at 1.08
Under 1.55.50price rising, opened at 5.45
Over 2.51.45price rising, opened at 1.37
Under 2.52.63price falling, opened at 2.66
Over 3.52.11price rising, opened at 1.98
Under 3.51.73price rising, opened at 1.72
Both teams to score
Yes1.50price rising, opened at 1.38
No2.50price falling, opened at 2.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.75
Away +0.252.07

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Los Angeles FC II are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Los Angeles FC II and Tacoma Defiance average 4.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-17.8%Projected
  2. 2-27.2%Alternative
  3. 1-17.0%
  4. 1-26.5%
  5. 3-15.8%

Top five combined: 34.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLos Angeles FC IIxG2.23
AwayTacoma DefiancexG1.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.7%
3.8%
4.2%
3.1%
1.7%
0.8%
0.4%
1
3.1%
7.0%
7.8%
5.8%
3.2%
1.4%
0.8%
2
2.9%
6.5%
7.2%
5.3%
3.0%
1.3%
0.7%
3
1.8%
4.0%
4.4%
3.3%
1.8%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.8%
2.1%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
5
0.3%
0.7%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 75.3%24.7% No
Over 1.5 91.4%8.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 77.4%22.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 58.3%41.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Los Angeles FC II win and over 2.5 goals39.1%
Los Angeles FC II win and both teams score33.1%
Tacoma Defiance win and over 2.5 goals26.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Los Angeles FC II or draw67.2%
Tacoma Defiance or draw52.9%
Either team wins79.8%
Draw no bet: Los Angeles FC II59.0%
Draw no bet: Tacoma Defiance41.0%
Los Angeles FC II win to nil14.0%
Tacoma Defiance win to nil9.1%
Team goals
Los Angeles FC II to score89.2%
Tacoma Defiance to score84.3%
Los Angeles FC II over 1.5 goals65.3%
Tacoma Defiance over 1.5 goals55.3%
Los Angeles FC II clean sheet15.7%
Tacoma Defiance clean sheet10.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance
Head to Head

Head to Head

Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 27, 2026Tacoma Defiance4 - 1Los Angeles FC II
August 11, 2025Tacoma Defiance4 - 2Los Angeles II
June 29, 2025Los Angeles II2 - 3Tacoma Defiance
League Table

League Table

MLS Next ProUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12518073527+853
12416084536+945
12518074921+2856
12518075936+2351
22113084328+1538
225140115441+1344
22516094937+1247
22417074826+2248
22415095032+1845
325130125339+1442
325130123936+340
325130124243-141
325150105145+643
425120133739-236
425140114138+342
424120123535035
421100114136+532
425130124941+839
52011094130+1133
524110133336-334
525130124441+339
51990103824+1429
525120134243-138
524120124331+1236
62190122228-627
624110133546-1129
62060142752-2519
625130124650-438
625120133338-536
62560193166-3520
724110134047-733
72270152849-2119
72550202648-2218
72580173548-1326
72590163855-1725
82540212659-3315
82570182957-2819
81920171647-318
MLS Next Pro - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Portland Timbers II2518073527853WWWWOW
1Columbus Crew II2416084536945LWWOWOW
1Austin II25180749212856WOLOWLW
1Crown Legacy25180759362351WWWLWO
2Ventura County21130843281538WWWLW
2New York RB II251401154411344LLLLLO
2Chattanooga25160949371247WWLOWOW
2Houston Dynamo FC II24170748262248LWOWWW
2LA Galaxy II24150950321845
3Atlanta United II251301253391442LOWLWW
3St. Louis City II25130123936340WLOLLL
3Los Angeles FC II25130124243-141WWOLLOLO
3Connecticut FC25150105145643WWWWW
4Tacoma Defiance25120133739-236WWWWL
4New England II25140114138342WLOWLOL
4North Texas24120123535035LLOWLW
4New York Red Bulls II21100114136532
4Chicago FC United25130124941839
5Chicago Fire II20110941301133WWLWLO
5Minnesota United II24110133336-334LLWLWO
5New York City II25130124441339WOLLWW
5The Town19901038241429LOLLLW
5Huntsville City25120134243-138LWWLOWO
5San Jose Earthquakes II241201243311236
6Philadelphia Union II2190122228-627LOLLWOW
6Real Monarchs24110133546-1129LLLWWO
6Sporting KC II2060142752-2519WWLLL
6Orlando City II25130124650-438LLWOWLO
6Bethlehem Steel25120133338-536
6Swope Park Rangers2560193166-3520
7Toronto II24110134047-733LWLLL
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2270152849-2119LWOLLW
7Colorado Rapids II2550202648-2218LLLWL
7Carolina Core2580173548-1326WOLWLOL
7Whitecaps II2590163855-1725
8Inter Miami II2540212659-3315LWLLL
8FC Cincinnati II2570182957-2819LWOLLWO
8Fort Lauderdale CF1920171647-318