Sportist Svoge vs Nesebar Prediction - August 16, 2026

Second LeagueBulgariaFull time
Sportist Svoge
0:1
Nesebar
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.45price falling, opened at 1.53
Draw4.00price rising, opened at 3.52
Away6.19price rising, opened at 6.10

Market move since Aug 16. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.52.97price falling, opened at 3.05
Over 2.52.02price rising, opened at 2.00
Under 2.51.69price falling, opened at 1.71
Over 3.53.72price rising, opened at 3.42
Under 3.51.20price falling, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes2.11price rising, opened at 2.01
No1.62price falling, opened at 1.69
Odd/Even
Odd1.79price falling, opened at 1.87
Even1.85price rising, opened at 1.77
Handicap
Home -11.86price falling, opened at 1.96
Away +11.82price rising, opened at 1.73

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sportist Svoge vs Nesebar?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Nesebar are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Sportist Svoge and Nesebar average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-116.3%Projected
  2. 1-112.6%Alternative
  3. 0-012.3%
  4. 0-210.8%
  5. 1-09.5%

Top five combined: 61.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSportist SvogexG0.77
AwayNesebarxG1.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
9.5%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
1
16%
13%
4.8%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
2
11%
8.3%
3.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
4.8%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.6%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 39.5%60.5% No
Over 1.5 61.9%38.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 34.9%65.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.1%83.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sportist Svoge win and over 2.5 goals8.6%
Sportist Svoge win and both teams score7.5%
Nesebar win and over 2.5 goals22.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sportist Svoge or draw50.2%
Nesebar or draw78.2%
Either team wins71.5%
Draw no bet: Sportist Svoge30.4%
Draw no bet: Nesebar69.6%
Sportist Svoge win to nil14.3%
Nesebar win to nil33.9%
Team goals
Sportist Svoge to score53.8%
Nesebar to score73.4%
Sportist Svoge over 1.5 goals18.1%
Nesebar over 1.5 goals38.2%
Sportist Svoge clean sheet26.6%
Nesebar clean sheet46.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Sportist Svoge vs Nesebar
League Table

League Table

Second LeagueBulgaria · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1742194+514
2741297+213
36330116+512
46321127+511
56321106+411
6732274+311
76312128+410
873131310+310
9631296+310
10731376+110
1172327709
1272231213-18
13722358-38
14621369-37
15621359-47
15200202-20
16713346-26
17612378-15
187007324-210
Second League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Fratria742194514WL
2Yantra 2019741297213LL
3Vihren6330116512WD
4Etar Veliko Tarnovo6321127511WW
5CSKA Sofia II6321106411WD
6Chernomorets 1919 Burgas732274311WD
7Montana6312128410D
8Nesebar73131310310L
9Beroe631296310LW
10Marek731376110LW
11Rilski Sportist Samokov72327709
12Hebar 191872231213-18LL
13Ludogorets II722358-38WW
14Spartak Pleven621369-37WW
15Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa621359-47LD
15Rilski Sportist200202-20LL
16Sportist Svoge713346-26DD
17Dobrudzha612378-15DW
18Pirin Blagoevgrad7007324-210LL