Torreense vs Penafiel Prediction - August 15, 2026

Liga Portugal 2PortugalFull time
Torreense
2:2
Penafiel
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.29Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.92price rising, opened at 1.77
Draw3.32price falling, opened at 3.54
Away4.05price falling, opened at 4.43

Market move since Aug 12. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price rising, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.00price rising, opened at 2.97
Over 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.04
Under 2.51.67price falling, opened at 1.74
Over 3.53.71price rising, opened at 3.42
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes1.93price rising, opened at 1.90
No1.82price rising, opened at 1.80
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -0.752.17price rising, opened at 1.92
Away +0.751.69price falling, opened at 1.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Torreense vs Penafiel?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Penafiel are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Torreense and Penafiel average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-017.4%Projected
  2. 2-012.4%
  3. 0-012.3%
  4. 1-111.8%Alternative
  5. 2-18.4%

Top five combined: 62.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTorreensexG1.42
AwayPenafielxG0.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
17%
12%
5.9%
2.1%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.3%
12%
8.4%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
2.8%
4.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 37.3%62.7% No
Over 1.5 62.0%38.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 35.0%65.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.1%83.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Torreense win and over 2.5 goals25.2%
Torreense win and both teams score16.5%
Penafiel win and over 2.5 goals6.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Torreense or draw82.2%
Penafiel or draw45.0%
Either team wins72.8%
Draw no bet: Torreense75.5%
Draw no bet: Penafiel24.5%
Torreense win to nil38.5%
Penafiel win to nil11.9%
Team goals
Torreense to score75.9%
Penafiel to score49.2%
Torreense over 1.5 goals41.6%
Penafiel over 1.5 goals14.8%
Torreense clean sheet50.8%
Penafiel clean sheet24.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Penafiel: 3-4-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Torreense vs Penafiel
Head to Head

Head to Head

Torreense vs Penafiel: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 4, 2026Torreense3 - 2Penafiel
December 21, 2025Penafiel1 - 0Torreense
May 5, 2025Penafiel0 - 1Torreense
League Table

League Table

Liga Portugal 2Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431072+510
2430173+49
3321063+37
4421142+27
5321042+27
6421143+17
7420275+26
842025506
932012206
10311143+14
1130302203
12310225-33
13410326-43
14302134-12
15402259-42
16301213-21
17301202-21
18301237-41
Liga Portugal 2 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Lusitânia Lourosa431072510
2Academica43017349
3Farense32106337
4Vizela42114227
5Benfica B32104227
6Portimonense42114317
7União de Leiria42027526
8Leixoes42025506
9Sporting CP B32012206
10Penafiel31114314
11Felgueiras 193230302203
12FC Porto B310225-33
13Tondela410326-43
14AVS302134-12
15Torreense402259-42
16Amarante301213-21
17Feirense301202-21
18Chaves301237-41