Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction - August 15, 2026

J2 LeagueJapanFull time
Shonan Bellmare
1:0
Montedio Yamagata
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.10price rising, opened at 1.85
Draw3.25price falling, opened at 3.26
Away3.50price falling, opened at 3.96

Market move since Aug 14. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.29price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.40price rising, opened at 3.08
Over 2.52.01price rising, opened at 1.96
Under 2.51.80price rising, opened at 1.75
Over 3.53.33price falling, opened at 3.34
Under 3.51.30price rising, opened at 1.24
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price rising, opened at 1.81
No1.93price rising, opened at 1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.80
Away +0.252.01

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Shonan Bellmare are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Shonan Bellmare and Montedio Yamagata average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-116.0%Projected
  2. 1-112.3%Alternative
  3. 0-011.5%
  4. 0-211.2%
  5. 1-08.8%

Top five combined: 59.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeShonan BellmarexG0.77
AwayMontedio YamagataxG1.40
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
8.8%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
1
16%
12%
4.7%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
2
11%
8.6%
3.3%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
5.2%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 40.3%59.7% No
Over 1.5 63.7%36.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 36.8%63.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 17.4%82.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Shonan Bellmare win and over 2.5 goals8.4%
Shonan Bellmare win and both teams score7.3%
Montedio Yamagata win and over 2.5 goals24.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Shonan Bellmare or draw48.0%
Montedio Yamagata or draw79.5%
Either team wins72.5%
Draw no bet: Shonan Bellmare28.3%
Draw no bet: Montedio Yamagata71.7%
Shonan Bellmare win to nil13.2%
Montedio Yamagata win to nil35.0%
Team goals
Shonan Bellmare to score53.5%
Montedio Yamagata to score75.3%
Shonan Bellmare over 1.5 goals17.9%
Montedio Yamagata over 1.5 goals40.8%
Shonan Bellmare clean sheet24.7%
Montedio Yamagata clean sheet46.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata
Head to Head

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 24, 2026Montedio Yamagata3 - 1Shonan Bellmare
March 14, 2026Shonan Bellmare2 - 1Montedio Yamagata
League Table

League Table

J2 LeagueJapan · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330083+59
2321020+27
3320182+66
4320183+56
5320152+36
6320141+36
7320143+16
8320132+16
9311142+24
1031113304
1131112204
12311145-14
13311145-14
14310246-23
15310248-43
16310227-53
17302112-12
18301214-31
19301216-51
20300339-60
Relegation
J2 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Omiya Ardija33008359
2Shonan Bellmare32102027
3Kataller Toyama32018266
4Tochigi City32018356
5Fujieda MYFC32015236
6Montedio Yamagata32014136
7Yokohama FC32014316
8Albirex Niigata32013216
9Oita Trinita31114224
10Sagan Tosu31113304
11Vegalta Sendai31112204
12Jubilo Iwata311145-14
13Blaublitz Akita311145-14
14Consadole Sapporo310246-23
15Iwaki310248-43
16Vanraure Hachinohe310227-53
17Tegevajaro Miyazaki302112-12
18Tokushima Vortis301214-31
19Ventforet Kofu301216-51
20Imabari300339-60